Taguatinga EC vs Luziânia: prediction and stats
Brasiliense BRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 2, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Taguatinga EC the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Luziânia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Taguatinga EC vs Luziânia?
Taguatinga EC starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,678 vs 1,560).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, Taguatinga EC have 5 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Luziânia have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2024 | Legião(home) | 0-1 | Brasiliense B |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Legião(away) | 1-1 | Brasiliense B |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Legião(home) | 1-0 | Brasiliense B |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Sobradinho EC(home) | 1-1 | Brasiliense B |
| Sep 23, 2024 | SESP Samambaense(away) | 0-0 | Brasiliense B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | Planaltina DF(home) | 0-1 | Brasiliense B |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Candango(home) | 2-0 | Brasiliense B |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Brasília(away) | 1-2 | Brasiliense B |
| Sep 21, 2025 | ARUC(away) | 0-0 | Brasiliense B |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Cruzeiro FC(home) | 0-0 | Brasiliense B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Taguatinga EC win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Luziânia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2024 | Taguatinga EC 2-1 Luziânia | Brasiliense B |
Last archived meeting: Taguatinga EC vs Luziânia on Sep 8, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Taguatinga EC score 2.6 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 9; Luziânia score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taguatinga EC | 2.6 | 0.4 | 5 | 3/9 | 4/9 |
| Luziânia | 1.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Taguatinga EC vs Luziânia?
- The Footlab model makes Taguatinga EC the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Luziânia.
- Where and when is Taguatinga EC vs Luziânia played?
- Taguatinga EC vs Luziânia is played on October 2, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC), in the Brasiliense B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.