Santanyí vs Alcúdia: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 11Group 11 - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Santanyí, Santanyí (Mallorca
The Footlab AI model makes Santanyí the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Alcúdia. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,617 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Santanyí vs Alcúdia?
On Elo ratings, Santanyí has 1,798 points and Alcúdia 1,722.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Santanyí vs Alcúdia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Santanyí
Not enough data to predict the Santanyí lineup.
Alcúdia
Not enough data to predict the Alcúdia lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 07:58 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santanyí have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Alcúdia have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Llosetense(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Porreres(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Mercadal(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Alcúdia(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Constància(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Mercadal(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cardassar(away) | 2-6 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Constància(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Santanyí(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Arenal(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Santanyí wins, 1 draw, 1 Alcúdia win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Alcúdia 1-2 Santanyí | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Alcúdia 1-1 Santanyí | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Nov 11, 2025 | Santanyí 3-2 Alcúdia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Alcúdia 1-0 Santanyí | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Santanyí 3-0 Alcúdia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Santanyí 1-0 Alcúdia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
How many goals should we expect?
Santanyí score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Alcúdia score 1.6 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santanyí | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Alcúdia | 1.6 | 1.8 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santanyí sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 (12 points from 6 matches) and Alcúdia sit 10th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Santanyí | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 12 |
| 10 | Alcúdia | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 9 |
A question about Santanyí vs Alcúdia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Santanyí vs Alcúdia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Santanyí the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Alcúdia.
- Where and when is Santanyí vs Alcúdia played?
- Santanyí vs Alcúdia is played on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Santanyí, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.