Plopeni vs Berca: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 3Group 3 - 10Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Gheorghe Șilaev, Plopeni
The Footlab AI model makes Plopeni the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Berca. The most likely score is 1-1. If Plopeni wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,338 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Plopeni vs Berca?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Plopeni (1,434) and Berca (1,522).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Plopeni vs Berca
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Plopeni
Not enough data to predict the Plopeni lineup.
Berca
Not enough data to predict the Berca lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 06:29 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Plopeni have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Berca have 5, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Râmnicu Sărat(away) | 2-3 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Pucioasa(home) | 0-0 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Voința Crevedia(away) | 1-0 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Blejoi(home) | 0-3 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Progresul Draganesti(away) | 2-4 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pucioasa(away) | 2-3 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Voința Crevedia(home) | 4-5 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Blejoi(away) | 1-6 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Progresul Draganesti(home) | 3-0 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Viitorul Corbeanca(away) | 2-0 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Plopeni score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Berca score 2.7 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plopeni | 1.2 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Berca | 2.7 | 2.3 | 3 | 7/10 | 9/10 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Plopeni sit 7th in Liga III - Serie 3 (10 points from 7 matches) and Berca sit 3rd (13 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Berca | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 15 | 13 |
| 7 | Plopeni | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 10 |
A question about Plopeni vs Berca?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Plopeni vs Berca?
- The Footlab AI model makes Plopeni the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Berca.
- Where and when is Plopeni vs Berca played?
- Plopeni vs Berca is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Gheorghe Șilaev, in the Liga III - Serie 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.