Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Manadon Sports Hub, Plymouth, Devon
The Footlab model makes Plymouth Parkway the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Chertsey Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Plymouth Parkway (1,812) and Chertsey Town (1,875).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Plymouth Parkway have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Chertsey Town have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Havant & Wville(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chippenham Town(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bath City(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bracknell Town(home) | 7-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Plymouth(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sholing(away) | 4-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Yate Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Berkhamsted(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gloucester City(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Westfield (Surrey)(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Plymouth Parkway win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Chertsey Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway 3-1 Chertsey Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Chertsey Town 1-0 Plymouth Parkway | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Plymouth Parkway 2-1 Chertsey Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Chertsey Town 1-2 Plymouth Parkway | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town on Mar 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Plymouth Parkway score 2.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Chertsey Town score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plymouth Parkway | 2.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Chertsey Town | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Plymouth Parkway sit 5th in Non League Premier - Southern South (7 points from 4 matches) and Chertsey Town sit 1st (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chertsey Town | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Plymouth Parkway | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town?
- The Footlab model makes Plymouth Parkway the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Chertsey Town.
- Where and when is Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town played?
- Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Manadon Sports Hub, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.