Malvern Town vs Chertsey Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthMatchday 21Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)HD Anywhere Stadium, Malvern, Worcestershire
The Footlab AI model makes Chertsey Town the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Malvern Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chertsey Town wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,570 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Malvern Town vs Chertsey Town?
Chertsey Town starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (1,785 vs 1,649).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Malvern Town vs Chertsey Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Malvern Town
Not enough data to predict the Malvern Town lineup.
Chertsey Town
Not enough data to predict the Chertsey Town lineup.
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 02:59 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malvern Town have 4 wins, 1 draw and 10 defeats; Chertsey Town have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2026 | Gloucester City(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Havant & Wville(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Sholing(away) | 2-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Uxbridge(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Frome Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2026 | Chichester City(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Bracknell Town(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(home) | 4-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Poole Town(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Takeley(away) | 4-0 | FA Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Malvern Town wins, 0 draws, 1 Chertsey Town win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Chertsey Town 5-0 Malvern Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Chertsey Town vs Malvern Town on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Malvern Town score 1.5 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Chertsey Town score 2.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malvern Town | 1.5 | 2.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Chertsey Town | 2.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Malvern Town sit 21st in Non League Premier - Southern South (14 points from 16 matches) and Chertsey Town sit 5th (29 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Chertsey Town | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 35 | 25 | 29 |
| 21 | Malvern Town | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 41 | 14 |
A question about Malvern Town vs Chertsey Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Malvern Town vs Chertsey Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chertsey Town the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Malvern Town.
- Where and when is Malvern Town vs Chertsey Town played?
- Malvern Town vs Chertsey Town is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at HD Anywhere Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026Taunton TownvsGosport Borough
- Nov 28, 2026BerkhamstedvsEvesham United
- Nov 28, 2026Basingstoke TownvsGloucester City
- Nov 28, 2026Bracknell TownvsWimborne Town
- Nov 28, 2026Chichester CityvsUxbridge
- Nov 28, 2026Hanwell TownvsFrome Town
- Nov 28, 2026Poole TownvsHavant & Wville
- Nov 28, 2026Yate TownvsHanworth Villa