Match

Malvern Town vs Chertsey Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 21Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)HD Anywhere Stadium, Malvern, Worcestershire

Malvern TownChertsey Town

The Footlab model makes Malvern Town the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Chertsey Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Malvern Town vs Chertsey Town?

A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Malvern Town (1,794) and Chertsey Town (1,843).

Malvern Town win41 %
Draw24 %
Chertsey Town win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malvern Town have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Chertsey Town have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Malvern Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Wimborne Town(home)0-3Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Bracknell Town(away)0-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Taunton Town(away)2-5Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Hanwell Town(home)2-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 1, 2026Rushall Olympic(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Chertsey Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Sholing(away)4-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Yate Town(home)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Berkhamsted(home)4-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Gloucester City(away)1-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 31, 2026Westfield (Surrey)(home)4-2Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Malvern Town score 1.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Chertsey Town score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Malvern Town1.91.848/1511/15
Chertsey Town1.91.349/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Malvern Town sit 22nd in Non League Premier - Southern South (2 points from 4 matches) and Chertsey Town sit 1st (10 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Chertsey Town431010410
22Malvern Town40224102

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Malvern Town vs Chertsey Town?
The Footlab model makes Malvern Town the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Chertsey Town.
Where and when is Malvern Town vs Chertsey Town played?
Malvern Town vs Chertsey Town is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at HD Anywhere Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Malvern Town and Chertsey Town

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