Plymouth Parkway vs Gloucester City: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 15Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Manadon Sports Hub, Plymouth, Devon
The Footlab model makes Plymouth Parkway the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for Gloucester City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Plymouth Parkway vs Gloucester City?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Plymouth Parkway (1,812) and Gloucester City (1,897).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Plymouth Parkway have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Gloucester City have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Havant & Wville(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chippenham Town(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bath City(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bracknell Town(home) | 7-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Plymouth(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hanwell Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wimborne Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bracknell Town(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chertsey Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Plymouth Parkway win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Gloucester City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Gloucester City 3-0 Plymouth Parkway | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Plymouth Parkway 2-1 Gloucester City | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Plymouth Parkway 6-0 Gloucester City | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 13, 2024 | Gloucester City 3-2 Plymouth Parkway | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Gloucester City vs Plymouth Parkway on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Plymouth Parkway score 2.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Gloucester City score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plymouth Parkway | 2.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Gloucester City | 1.6 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Plymouth Parkway sit 5th in Non League Premier - Southern South (7 points from 4 matches) and Gloucester City sit 15th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Plymouth Parkway | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 |
| 15 | Gloucester City | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Plymouth Parkway vs Gloucester City?
- The Footlab model makes Plymouth Parkway the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for Gloucester City.
- Where and when is Plymouth Parkway vs Gloucester City played?
- Plymouth Parkway vs Gloucester City is played on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Manadon Sports Hub, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Oct 27, 2026BerkhamstedvsSholing
- Oct 27, 2026Basingstoke TownvsUxbridge
- Oct 27, 2026Bracknell TownvsGosport Borough
- Oct 27, 2026Chichester CityvsHanworth Villa
- Oct 27, 2026Hanwell TownvsHavant & Wville
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