Match

Gloucester City vs Plymouth Parkway: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 29, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)New Meadow Park, Gloucester, Gloucestershire

Gloucester CityPlymouth Parkway

The Footlab model makes Gloucester City the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Plymouth Parkway. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gloucester City vs Plymouth Parkway?

A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Gloucester City (1,897) and Plymouth Parkway (1,812).

Gloucester City win63 %
Draw20 %
Plymouth Parkway win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gloucester City have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Plymouth Parkway have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gloucester City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Hanwell Town(home)1-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Wimborne Town(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Bracknell Town(away)2-3Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Chertsey Town(home)0-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 31, 2026Weston-super-Mare(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Plymouth Parkway
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Havant & Wville(home)2-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Chippenham Town(away)2-3Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Bath City(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Bracknell Town(home)7-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 11, 2026Plymouth(home)1-4Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Gloucester City win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Plymouth Parkway win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 28, 2026Gloucester City 3-0 Plymouth ParkwayNon League Premier - Southern South
Aug 16, 2025Plymouth Parkway 2-1 Gloucester CityNon League Premier - Southern South
Dec 21, 2024Plymouth Parkway 6-0 Gloucester CityNon League Premier - Southern South
Aug 13, 2024Gloucester City 3-2 Plymouth ParkwayNon League Premier - Southern South

Last archived meeting: Gloucester City vs Plymouth Parkway on Mar 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Gloucester City score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Plymouth Parkway score 2.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Gloucester City1.61.267/158/15
Plymouth Parkway2.51.5410/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gloucester City sit 15th in Non League Premier - Southern South (4 points from 4 matches) and Plymouth Parkway sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Plymouth Parkway42111257
15Gloucester City4112454

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gloucester City vs Plymouth Parkway?
The Footlab model makes Gloucester City the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Plymouth Parkway.
Where and when is Gloucester City vs Plymouth Parkway played?
Gloucester City vs Plymouth Parkway is played on September 29, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at New Meadow Park, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Gloucester City and Plymouth Parkway

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