Basingstoke Town vs Gloucester City: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 21Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Charters Community Stadium, Winchester, Hampshire
The Footlab model makes Gloucester City the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Basingstoke Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Basingstoke Town vs Gloucester City?
Gloucester City starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,860 vs 1,716).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Basingstoke Town have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Gloucester City have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bath City(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Poole Town(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Evesham United(home) | 2-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hanwell Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wimborne Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bracknell Town(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chertsey Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Basingstoke Town win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Gloucester City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | Basingstoke Town 0-2 Gloucester City | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Gloucester City 2-1 Basingstoke Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Basingstoke Town 1-1 Gloucester City | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Gloucester City 1-1 Basingstoke Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Basingstoke Town vs Gloucester City on Nov 18, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Basingstoke Town score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Gloucester City score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Basingstoke Town | 1.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Gloucester City | 1.6 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Basingstoke Town sit 10th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Gloucester City sit 15th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Basingstoke Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 15 | Gloucester City | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Basingstoke Town vs Gloucester City?
- The Footlab model makes Gloucester City the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Basingstoke Town.
- Where and when is Basingstoke Town vs Gloucester City played?
- Basingstoke Town vs Gloucester City is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Charters Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026Taunton TownvsGosport Borough
- Nov 28, 2026BerkhamstedvsEvesham United
- Nov 28, 2026Bracknell TownvsWimborne Town
- Nov 28, 2026Chichester CityvsUxbridge
- Nov 28, 2026Hanwell TownvsFrome Town
- Nov 28, 2026Poole TownvsHavant & Wville
- Nov 28, 2026Yate TownvsHanworth Villa
- Nov 28, 2026Chippenham TownvsBath City