Match

Basingstoke Town vs Gloucester City: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 21Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Charters Community Stadium, Winchester, Hampshire

Basingstoke TownGloucester City

The Footlab model makes Gloucester City the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Basingstoke Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Basingstoke Town vs Gloucester City?

Gloucester City starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,860 vs 1,716).

Basingstoke Town win25 %
Draw24 %
Gloucester City win51 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Basingstoke Town have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Gloucester City have 9, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Basingstoke Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Bath City(home)1-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Poole Town(away)2-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Hanwell Town(away)1-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Evesham United(home)2-4Non League Premier - Southern South
Apr 25, 2026Hanwell Town(away)1-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Gloucester City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Hanwell Town(home)1-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Wimborne Town(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Bracknell Town(away)2-3Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Chertsey Town(home)0-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 31, 2026Weston-super-Mare(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Basingstoke Town win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Gloucester City win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 18, 2025Basingstoke Town 0-2 Gloucester CityNon League Premier - Southern South
Sep 27, 2025Gloucester City 2-1 Basingstoke TownNon League Premier - Southern South
Feb 8, 2025Basingstoke Town 1-1 Gloucester CityNon League Premier - Southern South
Nov 2, 2024Gloucester City 1-1 Basingstoke TownNon League Premier - Southern South

Last archived meeting: Basingstoke Town vs Gloucester City on Nov 18, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Basingstoke Town score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Gloucester City score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Basingstoke Town1.71.749/1510/15
Gloucester City1.61.267/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Basingstoke Town sit 10th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Gloucester City sit 15th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Basingstoke Town4202666
15Gloucester City4112454

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Basingstoke Town vs Gloucester City?
The Footlab model makes Gloucester City the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Basingstoke Town.
Where and when is Basingstoke Town vs Gloucester City played?
Basingstoke Town vs Gloucester City is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Charters Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Basingstoke Town and Gloucester City

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