Where and when is Yate Town vs Evesham United played?

Yate Town vs Evesham United is played on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at The Jelf Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Yate Town vs Evesham United: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)The Jelf Stadium, Yate, South Gloucestershire

Yate Town

Evesham United

The Footlab model makes Yate Town the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Evesham United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Yate Town vs Evesham United?

A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Yate Town (1,780) and Evesham United (1,714).

Yate Town win59 %

Draw23 %

Evesham United win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yate Town have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Evesham United have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Yate Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Bracknell Town(home)	2-1	Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026	Chertsey Town(away)	1-1	Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026	Chippenham Town(away)	1-1	Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026	Gosport Borough(home)	1-0	Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 1, 2026	Leamington(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs

Evesham United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Hanworth Villa(away)	1-4	Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026	Chichester City(home)	3-0	Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026	Frome Town(home)	0-4	Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026	Basingstoke Town(away)	4-2	Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 31, 2026	Bishop's Cleeve(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Yate Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Evesham United win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 6, 2026	Yate Town 3-0 Evesham United	Non League Premier - Southern South
Dec 27, 2025	Evesham United 0-1 Yate Town	Non League Premier - Southern South
Mar 8, 2025	Evesham United 2-1 Yate Town	Non League Div One - Southern South
Nov 23, 2024	Yate Town 1-0 Evesham United	Non League Div One - Southern South
Feb 10, 2024	Evesham United 1-1 Yate Town	Non League Div One - Southern South
Nov 4, 2023	Yate Town 1-5 Evesham United	Non League Div One - Southern South

Last archived meeting: Yate Town vs Evesham United on Apr 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Yate Town score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Evesham United score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Yate Town	1.5	1.1	4	8/15	7/15
Evesham United	1.3	1.7	4	8/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Yate Town sit 4th in Non League Premier - Southern South (8 points from 4 matches) and Evesham United sit 12th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Yate Town	4	2	2	0	5	3	8
12	Evesham United	4	2	0	2	8	10	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Yate Town vs Evesham United?: The Footlab model makes Yate Town the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Evesham United.
Where and when is Yate Town vs Evesham United played?: Yate Town vs Evesham United is played on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at The Jelf Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.