Leicester vs Luton: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 27Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)King Power Stadium, Leicester, Leicestershire
The Footlab AI model makes Luton the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Leicester. The most likely score is 1-1. If Luton wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,381 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leicester vs Luton?
Luton starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,960 vs 1,856).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Leicester vs Luton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Leicester
4-2-3-1- 17E. Riis
- 37W. Alves
- 25L. Page
- 11L. Cullen
- 6J. Lundstram
- 14B. De Cordova-Reid
- 33L. Thomas
- 16W. O'Hora
- 32O. Aluko
- 5C. Okoli
- 29A. McCarthy
Luton
4-1-4-1- 21N. Wells
- 8L. Walsh
- 18J. Clark
- 45K. Palmer
- 10J. Donley
- 17T. Mendel-Idowu
- 2H. Odoffin
- 5M. Andersen
- 6G. Johnston
- 3K. Naismith
- 1J. Shea
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 05:32 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leicester have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Luton have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Peterborough(home) | 1-3 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Stevenage(away) | 1-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Fulham U21(home) | 6-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Barnsley(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Stockport County(away) | 4-3 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 4-1 | League One |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Colchester(away) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Ipswich Town U21(home) | 6-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Stevenage(away) | 1-2 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Leicester win, 0 draws, 0 Luton wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2019 | Luton 0-4 Leicester | League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Leicester score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Luton score 2.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester | 1.5 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Luton | 2.0 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leicester sit 17th in League One (9 points from 8 matches) and Luton sit 13th (11 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Luton | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 11 |
| 17 | Leicester | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 9 |
A question about Leicester vs Luton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leicester vs Luton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Luton the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Leicester.
- Where and when is Leicester vs Luton played?
- Leicester vs Luton is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at King Power Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.