Pocheon vs Yeoju Sejong: prediction and stats
K3 LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Pocheon Stadium, Pocheon
The Footlab model makes Pocheon the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Yeoju Sejong. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pocheon vs Yeoju Sejong?
Pocheon starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (1,753 vs 1,621).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pocheon have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Yeoju Sejong have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mokpo City(home) | 2-0 | K3 League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Daejeon Korail(home) | 1-1 | K3 League |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Seongnam FC(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Dangjin Citizen(away) | 1-1 | K3 League |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Daejeon Korail(home) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dangjin Citizen(away) | 2-1 | K3 League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Dangjin Citizen(home) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Gangneung City(away) | 1-1 | K3 League |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Gyeongnam FC(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Jul 10, 2026 | Ulsan Citizen(away) | 0-1 | K3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Pocheon win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Yeoju Sejong win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Yeoju Sejong 3-4 Pocheon | K3 League |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Yeoju Sejong 1-0 Pocheon | K3 League |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Pocheon 2-0 Yeoju Sejong | K3 League |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Yeoju Sejong 1-1 Pocheon | K3 League |
| Jun 9, 2024 | Pocheon 1-2 Yeoju Sejong | K3 League |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Yeoju Sejong 4-3 Pocheon | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Yeoju Sejong vs Pocheon on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pocheon score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Yeoju Sejong score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pocheon | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Yeoju Sejong | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pocheon sit 2nd in K3 League (39 points from 19 matches) and Yeoju Sejong sit 7th (25 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pocheon | 19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 33 | 16 | 39 |
| 3 | Pocheon | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 28 |
| 6 | Yeoju Sejong | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
| 7 | Yeoju Sejong | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pocheon vs Yeoju Sejong?
- The Footlab model makes Pocheon the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Yeoju Sejong.
- Where and when is Pocheon vs Yeoju Sejong played?
- Pocheon vs Yeoju Sejong is played on September 6, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Pocheon Stadium, in the K3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.