Gangneung City vs Busan Transportation: prediction and stats
K3 LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Gangneung Stadium, Gangneung
The Footlab model makes Busan Transportation the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Gangneung City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gangneung City vs Busan Transportation?
Busan Transportation starts as the favourite with a 154-point Elo edge (1,731 vs 1,577).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gangneung City have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Busan Transportation have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chuncheon(home) | 1-0 | K3 League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Yeoju Sejong(home) | 1-1 | K3 League |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Paju Citizen(away) | 2-3 | FA Cup |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Mokpo City(away) | 1-2 | K3 League |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Jecheon Citizen(home) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Changwon City(home) | 4-3 | K3 League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Jinju Citizen(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Yangpyeong(away) | 4-2 | K3 League |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Suwon Bluewings(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Siheung Citizen(away) | 2-0 | K3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Gangneung City win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Busan Transportation win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Busan Transportation 4-0 Gangneung City | K3 League |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Gangneung City 2-1 Busan Transportation | K3 League |
| Jun 6, 2025 | Busan Transportation 2-0 Gangneung City | K3 League |
| Jul 13, 2024 | Gangneung City 2-1 Busan Transportation | K3 League |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Busan Transportation 0-3 Gangneung City | K3 League |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Gangneung City 2-3 Busan Transportation | K3 League |
Last archived meeting: Busan Transportation vs Gangneung City on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gangneung City score 1.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Busan Transportation score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gangneung City | 1.2 | 1.6 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Busan Transportation | 2.1 | 1.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gangneung City sit 9th in K3 League (23 points from 19 matches) and Busan Transportation sit 3rd (36 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Busan Transportation | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 36 |
| 4 | Busan Transportation | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 11 | 26 |
| 7 | Gangneung City | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 19 |
| 9 | Gangneung City | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 27 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gangneung City vs Busan Transportation?
- The Footlab model makes Busan Transportation the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Gangneung City.
- Where and when is Gangneung City vs Busan Transportation played?
- Gangneung City vs Busan Transportation is played on September 6, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Gangneung Stadium, in the K3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.