Górnik Łęczna vs Stal Stalowa Wola: prediction and stats
II Liga - EastRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Bogdanka Arena, Łęczna
The Footlab model makes Górnik Łęczna the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Stal Stalowa Wola. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Górnik Łęczna vs Stal Stalowa Wola?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Górnik Łęczna (1,777) and Stal Stalowa Wola (1,821).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Górnik Łęczna have 4 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; Stal Stalowa Wola have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz(away) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Podhale Nowy Targ(home) | 5-2 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Śląsk Wrocław II(away) | 0-2 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Kalisz(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Avia Świdnik(home) | 0-1 | II Liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Chojniczanka Chojnice(away) | 0-2 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Avia Świdnik(home) | 4-0 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała(away) | 1-3 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Śląsk Wrocław II(away) | 2-3 | Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Tychy 71(home) | 1-2 | II Liga - East |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Górnik Łęczna win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Stal Stalowa Wola win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2024 | Górnik Łęczna 2-0 Stal Stalowa Wola | I Liga |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Stal Stalowa Wola 0-1 Górnik Łęczna | I Liga |
| Jun 6, 2020 | Górnik Łęczna 1-2 Stal Stalowa Wola | II Liga - East |
| Aug 31, 2019 | Stal Stalowa Wola 1-3 Górnik Łęczna | II Liga - East |
Last archived meeting: Górnik Łęczna vs Stal Stalowa Wola on Dec 1, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Górnik Łęczna score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Stal Stalowa Wola score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Górnik Łęczna | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Stal Stalowa Wola | 1.6 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Górnik Łęczna sit 8th in II Liga - East (7 points from 5 matches) and Stal Stalowa Wola sit 12th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Górnik Łęczna | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| 12 | Stal Stalowa Wola | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Górnik Łęczna vs Stal Stalowa Wola?
- The Footlab model makes Górnik Łęczna the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Stal Stalowa Wola.
- Where and when is Górnik Łęczna vs Stal Stalowa Wola played?
- Górnik Łęczna vs Stal Stalowa Wola is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Bogdanka Arena, in the II Liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026Sandecja Nowy SączvsZawisza Bydgoszcz
- Oct 17, 2026Hutnik KrakówvsChojniczanka Chojnice
- Oct 17, 2026Legia Warszawa IIvsTychy 71
- Oct 17, 2026Resovia RzeszówvsSokół Kleczew
- Oct 17, 2026Znicz PruszkówvsRekord Bielsko-Biała
- Oct 17, 2026Podhale Nowy TargvsLechia Zielona Góra
- Oct 17, 2026Śląsk Wrocław IIvsAvia Świdnik
- Oct 17, 2026Świt SkolwinvsOlimpia Grudziądz