Sandecja Nowy Sącz vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz: prediction and stats
II Liga - EastRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion im. Ojca Władysława Augustynka, Nowy Sącz
The Footlab model makes Zawisza Bydgoszcz the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Sandecja Nowy Sącz. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sandecja Nowy Sącz vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Sandecja Nowy Sącz (1,918) and Zawisza Bydgoszcz (1,979).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sandecja Nowy Sącz have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Zawisza Bydgoszcz have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Górnik Łęczna(home) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Świt Skolwin(away) | 1-0 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Avia Świdnik(away) | 0-3 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała(home) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Chojniczanka Chojnice(home) | 3-0 | II Liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Avia Świdnik(away) | 4-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lechia Zielona Góra(home) | 2-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Resovia Rzeszów(home) | 1-0 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała(away) | 0-3 | II Liga - East |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sokół Kleczew(home) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
How many goals should we expect?
Sandecja Nowy Sącz score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Zawisza Bydgoszcz score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sandecja Nowy Sącz | 1.5 | 0.9 | 8 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sandecja Nowy Sącz sit 6th in II Liga - East (8 points from 5 matches) and Zawisza Bydgoszcz sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 6 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sandecja Nowy Sącz vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz?
- The Footlab model makes Zawisza Bydgoszcz the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Sandecja Nowy Sącz.
- Where and when is Sandecja Nowy Sącz vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz played?
- Sandecja Nowy Sącz vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Ojca Władysława Augustynka, in the II Liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026Górnik ŁęcznavsStal Stalowa Wola
- Oct 17, 2026Hutnik KrakówvsChojniczanka Chojnice
- Oct 17, 2026Legia Warszawa IIvsTychy 71
- Oct 17, 2026Resovia RzeszówvsSokół Kleczew
- Oct 17, 2026Znicz PruszkówvsRekord Bielsko-Biała
- Oct 17, 2026Podhale Nowy TargvsLechia Zielona Góra
- Oct 17, 2026Śląsk Wrocław IIvsAvia Świdnik
- Oct 17, 2026Świt SkolwinvsOlimpia Grudziądz