Świt Skolwin vs Olimpia Grudziądz: prediction and stats
II Liga - EastRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski Skolwin, Szczecin
The Footlab model makes Olimpia Grudziądz the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Świt Skolwin. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Świt Skolwin vs Olimpia Grudziądz?
Olimpia Grudziądz starts as the favourite with a 188-point Elo edge (1,924 vs 1,736).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Świt Skolwin have 1 wins, 2 draws and 12 defeats; Olimpia Grudziądz have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Znicz Pruszków(away) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz(home) | 0-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Legia Warszawa II(away) | 0-5 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Olimpia Grudziądz(away) | 3-5 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hutnik Kraków(away) | 0-3 | II Liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała(away) | 2-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Znicz Pruszków(away) | 1-0 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Tychy 71(away) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Świt Skolwin(home) | 5-3 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lechia Zielona Góra(away) | 2-2 | II Liga - East |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Świt Skolwin win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Olimpia Grudziądz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Olimpia Grudziądz 5-3 Świt Skolwin | Cup |
| May 30, 2026 | Świt Skolwin 0-1 Olimpia Grudziądz | II Liga - East |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Olimpia Grudziądz 1-1 Świt Skolwin | II Liga - East |
| May 10, 2025 | Świt Skolwin 3-1 Olimpia Grudziądz | II Liga - East |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Olimpia Grudziądz 2-2 Świt Skolwin | II Liga - East |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Świt Skolwin 0-3 Olimpia Grudziądz | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Olimpia Grudziądz vs Świt Skolwin on Aug 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Świt Skolwin score 0.8 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Olimpia Grudziądz score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Świt Skolwin | 0.8 | 2.5 | 0 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Olimpia Grudziądz | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Świt Skolwin sit 18th in II Liga - East (1 points from 5 matches) and Olimpia Grudziądz sit 7th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Olimpia Grudziądz | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 8 |
| 18 | Świt Skolwin | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Świt Skolwin vs Olimpia Grudziądz?
- The Footlab model makes Olimpia Grudziądz the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Świt Skolwin.
- Where and when is Świt Skolwin vs Olimpia Grudziądz played?
- Świt Skolwin vs Olimpia Grudziądz is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski Skolwin, in the II Liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026Sandecja Nowy SączvsZawisza Bydgoszcz
- Oct 17, 2026Górnik ŁęcznavsStal Stalowa Wola
- Oct 17, 2026Hutnik KrakówvsChojniczanka Chojnice
- Oct 17, 2026Legia Warszawa IIvsTychy 71
- Oct 17, 2026Resovia RzeszówvsSokół Kleczew
- Oct 17, 2026Znicz PruszkówvsRekord Bielsko-Biała
- Oct 17, 2026Podhale Nowy TargvsLechia Zielona Góra
- Oct 17, 2026Śląsk Wrocław IIvsAvia Świdnik