Znicz Pruszków vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała: prediction and stats
II Liga - EastRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Znicza (MZOS), Pruszków
The Footlab model makes Znicz Pruszków the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Rekord Bielsko-Biała. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Znicz Pruszków vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Znicz Pruszków (1,786) and Rekord Bielsko-Biała (1,816).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Znicz Pruszków have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Rekord Bielsko-Biała have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Świt Skolwin(home) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Olimpia Grudziądz(home) | 0-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Chojniczanka Chojnice(away) | 4-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(home) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Legia Warszawa II(home) | 2-1 | II Liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Olimpia Grudziądz(home) | 1-2 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sokół Kleczew(away) | 0-3 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stal Stalowa Wola(home) | 3-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz(away) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz(home) | 3-0 | II Liga - East |
How many goals should we expect?
Znicz Pruszków score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Rekord Bielsko-Biała score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Znicz Pruszków | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Rekord Bielsko-Biała | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Znicz Pruszków sit 3rd in II Liga - East (10 points from 5 matches) and Rekord Bielsko-Biała sit 9th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Znicz Pruszków | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Znicz Pruszków vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała?
- The Footlab model makes Znicz Pruszków the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Rekord Bielsko-Biała.
- Where and when is Znicz Pruszków vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała played?
- Znicz Pruszków vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Znicza (MZOS), in the II Liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026Sandecja Nowy SączvsZawisza Bydgoszcz
- Oct 17, 2026Górnik ŁęcznavsStal Stalowa Wola
- Oct 17, 2026Hutnik KrakówvsChojniczanka Chojnice
- Oct 17, 2026Legia Warszawa IIvsTychy 71
- Oct 17, 2026Resovia RzeszówvsSokół Kleczew
- Oct 17, 2026Podhale Nowy TargvsLechia Zielona Góra
- Oct 17, 2026Śląsk Wrocław IIvsAvia Świdnik
- Oct 17, 2026Świt SkolwinvsOlimpia Grudziądz