Podlasie Biała Podlaska vs Wiślanie Jaśkowice: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 13Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MOSiR, Biała Podlaska
The Footlab model makes Podlasie Biała Podlaska the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Wiślanie Jaśkowice. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Podlasie Biała Podlaska vs Wiślanie Jaśkowice?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Podlasie Biała Podlaska (1,792) and Wiślanie Jaśkowice (1,772).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Podlasie Biała Podlaska have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Wiślanie Jaśkowice have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Jarosław(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Busko-Zdroj(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Czarni Połaniec(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Hetman Zamosc(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | KSZO 1929(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hetman Zamosc(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | KSZO 1929(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wisła Kraków II(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Naprzód(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Moravia Morawica(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Podlasie Biała Podlaska win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Wiślanie Jaśkowice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice 1-2 Podlasie Biała Podlaska | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska 2-2 Wiślanie Jaśkowice | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Apr 4, 2025 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice 1-0 Podlasie Biała Podlaska | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska 2-1 Wiślanie Jaśkowice | III Liga - Group 4 |
| May 19, 2024 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska 0-2 Wiślanie Jaśkowice | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice 0-0 Podlasie Biała Podlaska | III Liga - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Wiślanie Jaśkowice vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Podlasie Biała Podlaska score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Wiślanie Jaśkowice score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Podlasie Biała Podlaska | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Wiślanie Jaśkowice | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Podlasie Biała Podlaska sit 8th in III Liga - Group 4 (7 points from 5 matches) and Wiślanie Jaśkowice sit 2nd (13 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 13 |
| 8 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Podlasie Biała Podlaska vs Wiślanie Jaśkowice?
- The Footlab model makes Podlasie Biała Podlaska the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Wiślanie Jaśkowice.
- Where and when is Podlasie Biała Podlaska vs Wiślanie Jaśkowice played?
- Podlasie Biała Podlaska vs Wiślanie Jaśkowice is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026Siarka TarnobrzegvsPogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
- Oct 17, 2026Wisłoka DębicavsNaprzód
- Oct 17, 2026Czarni PołaniecvsChełmianka Chełm
- Oct 17, 2026JarosławvsKSZO 1929
- Oct 17, 2026Star StarachowicevsKorona Kielce II
- Oct 17, 2026Sokół Kolb.vsWisła Kraków II
- Oct 17, 2026KS Wieczysta Krakow IIvsMoravia Morawica
- Oct 17, 2026Busko-ZdrojvsHetman Zamosc