Where and when is Busko-Zdroj vs Hetman Zamosc played?

Busko-Zdroj vs Hetman Zamosc is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Busko-Zdroj vs Hetman Zamosc: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 13Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)

Busko-Zdroj

Hetman Zamosc

The Footlab model makes Hetman Zamosc the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Busko-Zdroj. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Busko-Zdroj vs Hetman Zamosc?

Busko-Zdroj starts as the favourite with a 193-point Elo edge (1,715 vs 1,523).

Busko-Zdroj win36 %

Draw25 %

Hetman Zamosc win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Busko-Zdroj have 2 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Hetman Zamosc have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Busko-Zdroj
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Star Starachowice(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Podlasie Biała Podlaska(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026	Siarka Tarnobrzeg(home)	1-4	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026	KS Wieczysta Krakow II(away)	3-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 2, 2026	Wisłoka Dębica(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 4

Hetman Zamosc
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Wiślanie Jaśkowice(home)	0-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Korona Kielce II(away)	2-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026	Star Starachowice(home)	3-0	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 7, 2026	Podlasie Biała Podlaska(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 2, 2026	Siarka Tarnobrzeg(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 4

How many goals should we expect?

Busko-Zdroj score 1.6 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 8; Hetman Zamosc score 1.3 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Busko-Zdroj	1.6	2.1	0	6/8	6/8
Hetman Zamosc	1.3	2.4	2	10/15	11/15

Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Busko-Zdroj sit 14th in III Liga - Group 4 (5 points from 5 matches) and Hetman Zamosc sit 10th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Hetman Zamosc	5	1	3	1	7	5	6
14	Busko-Zdroj	5	1	2	2	7	9	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Busko-Zdroj vs Hetman Zamosc?: The Footlab model makes Hetman Zamosc the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Busko-Zdroj.
Where and when is Busko-Zdroj vs Hetman Zamosc played?: Busko-Zdroj vs Hetman Zamosc is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.