Naprzód vs Hetman Zamosc: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Naprzód, Jędrzejów
The Footlab model makes Hetman Zamosc the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Naprzód. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Naprzód vs Hetman Zamosc?
Naprzód starts as the favourite with a 166-point Elo edge (1,688 vs 1,523).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Naprzód have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Hetman Zamosc have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chełmianka Chełm(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Moravia Morawica(away) | 2-4 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Korona Kielce II(home) | 5-4 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Korona Kielce II(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Star Starachowice(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Naprzód score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Hetman Zamosc score 1.3 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naprzód | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Hetman Zamosc | 1.3 | 2.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Naprzód sit 12th in III Liga - Group 4 (6 points from 5 matches) and Hetman Zamosc sit 10th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hetman Zamosc | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 12 | Naprzód | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Naprzód vs Hetman Zamosc?
- The Footlab model makes Hetman Zamosc the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Naprzód.
- Where and when is Naprzód vs Hetman Zamosc played?
- Naprzód vs Hetman Zamosc is played on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Naprzód, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026Chełmianka ChełmvsSiarka Tarnobrzeg
- Sep 12, 2026Korona Kielce IIvsSokół Kolb.
- Sep 12, 2026Podlasie Biała PodlaskavsKS Wieczysta Krakow II
- Sep 12, 2026Wiślanie JaśkowicevsJarosław
- Sep 12, 2026Star StarachowicevsWisłoka Dębica
- Sep 12, 2026Pogoń-Sokół LubaczówvsBusko-Zdroj
- Sep 12, 2026Wisła Kraków IIvsKSZO 1929
- Sep 12, 2026Moravia MorawicavsCzarni Połaniec