Star Starachowice vs Wisłoka Dębica: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Starachowice
The Footlab model makes Star Starachowice the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Wisłoka Dębica. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Star Starachowice vs Wisłoka Dębica?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Star Starachowice (1,762) and Wisłoka Dębica (1,720).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Star Starachowice have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Wisłoka Dębica have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Busko-Zdroj(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Czarni Połaniec(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hetman Zamosc(away) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | KSZO 1929(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wisła Kraków II(away) | 2-4 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II(home) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Chełmianka Chełm(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sokół Kolb.(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Jarosław(home) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Busko-Zdroj(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Star Starachowice win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Wisłoka Dębica win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | Wisłoka Dębica 0-0 Star Starachowice | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Star Starachowice 1-1 Wisłoka Dębica | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Apr 4, 2025 | Star Starachowice 0-0 Wisłoka Dębica | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Sep 6, 2024 | Wisłoka Dębica 3-1 Star Starachowice | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Jun 1, 2024 | Wisłoka Dębica 0-1 Star Starachowice | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Star Starachowice 1-0 Wisłoka Dębica | III Liga - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Wisłoka Dębica vs Star Starachowice on Apr 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Star Starachowice score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Wisłoka Dębica score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Star Starachowice | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Wisłoka Dębica | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Star Starachowice sit 15th in III Liga - Group 4 (5 points from 5 matches) and Wisłoka Dębica sit 9th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wisłoka Dębica | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
| 15 | Star Starachowice | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Star Starachowice vs Wisłoka Dębica?
- The Footlab model makes Star Starachowice the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Wisłoka Dębica.
- Where and when is Star Starachowice vs Wisłoka Dębica played?
- Star Starachowice vs Wisłoka Dębica is played on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026Chełmianka ChełmvsSiarka Tarnobrzeg
- Sep 12, 2026Korona Kielce IIvsSokół Kolb.
- Sep 12, 2026Podlasie Biała PodlaskavsKS Wieczysta Krakow II
- Sep 12, 2026Wiślanie JaśkowicevsJarosław
- Sep 12, 2026Pogoń-Sokół LubaczówvsBusko-Zdroj
- Sep 12, 2026Wisła Kraków IIvsKSZO 1929
- Sep 12, 2026NaprzódvsHetman Zamosc
- Sep 12, 2026Moravia MorawicavsCzarni Połaniec