Match

Wiślanie Jaśkowice vs Jarosław: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Milenium, Skawina

Wiślanie JaśkowiceJarosław

The Footlab model makes Wiślanie Jaśkowice the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Jarosław. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Wiślanie Jaśkowice vs Jarosław?

A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Wiślanie Jaśkowice (1,772) and Jarosław (1,747).

Wiślanie Jaśkowice win45 %
Draw24 %
Jarosław win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wiślanie Jaśkowice have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Jarosław have 7, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Wiślanie Jaśkowice
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Hetman Zamosc(away)1-0III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026KSZO 1929(home)2-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026Wisła Kraków II(away)2-1III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026Naprzód(home)2-0III Liga - Group 4
Aug 2, 2026Moravia Morawica(away)2-0III Liga - Group 4
Jarosław
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Podlasie Biała Podlaska(home)2-0III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026Siarka Tarnobrzeg(away)3-1III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026KS Wieczysta Krakow II(home)1-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026Wisłoka Dębica(away)1-3III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026Sokół Kolb.(home)2-2III Liga - Group 4

How many goals should we expect?

Wiślanie Jaśkowice score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Jarosław score 2.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Wiślanie Jaśkowice1.11.256/156/15
Jarosław2.21.7111/1311/13

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Wiślanie Jaśkowice sit 2nd in III Liga - Group 4 (13 points from 5 matches) and Jarosław sit 6th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Wiślanie Jaśkowice54109313
6Jarosław5212987

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Wiślanie Jaśkowice vs Jarosław?
The Footlab model makes Wiślanie Jaśkowice the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Jarosław.
Where and when is Wiślanie Jaśkowice vs Jarosław played?
Wiślanie Jaśkowice vs Jarosław is played on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Milenium, in the III Liga - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Wiślanie Jaśkowice and Jarosław

Ready to know everything about football?