Wiślanie Jaśkowice vs Jarosław: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Milenium, Skawina
The Footlab model makes Wiślanie Jaśkowice the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Jarosław. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wiślanie Jaśkowice vs Jarosław?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Wiślanie Jaśkowice (1,772) and Jarosław (1,747).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wiślanie Jaśkowice have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Jarosław have 7, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hetman Zamosc(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | KSZO 1929(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wisła Kraków II(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Naprzód(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Moravia Morawica(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg(away) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wisłoka Dębica(away) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sokół Kolb.(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Wiślanie Jaśkowice score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Jarosław score 2.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wiślanie Jaśkowice | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Jarosław | 2.2 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/13 | 11/13 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wiślanie Jaśkowice sit 2nd in III Liga - Group 4 (13 points from 5 matches) and Jarosław sit 6th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | Jarosław | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wiślanie Jaśkowice vs Jarosław?
- The Footlab model makes Wiślanie Jaśkowice the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Jarosław.
- Where and when is Wiślanie Jaśkowice vs Jarosław played?
- Wiślanie Jaśkowice vs Jarosław is played on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Milenium, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026Chełmianka ChełmvsSiarka Tarnobrzeg
- Sep 12, 2026Korona Kielce IIvsSokół Kolb.
- Sep 12, 2026Podlasie Biała PodlaskavsKS Wieczysta Krakow II
- Sep 12, 2026Star StarachowicevsWisłoka Dębica
- Sep 12, 2026Pogoń-Sokół LubaczówvsBusko-Zdroj
- Sep 12, 2026Wisła Kraków IIvsKSZO 1929
- Sep 12, 2026NaprzódvsHetman Zamosc
- Sep 12, 2026Moravia MorawicavsCzarni Połaniec