Match

Pogon Szczecin vs Piast Gliwice: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, Szczecin

Pogon SzczecinPiast Gliwice

The Footlab model makes Pogon Szczecin the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Piast Gliwice. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pogon Szczecin vs Piast Gliwice?

A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Pogon Szczecin (1,993) and Piast Gliwice (1,917).

Pogon Szczecin win50 %
Draw25 %
Piast Gliwice win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pogon Szczecin have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Piast Gliwice have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pogon Szczecin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Wisla Krakow(home)2-2Ekstraklasa
Aug 8, 2026Motor Lublin(home)3-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 3, 2026Cracovia Krakow(away)2-0Ekstraklasa
Jul 24, 2026Legia Warszawa(home)0-1Ekstraklasa
Jul 15, 2026Sturm Graz(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Piast Gliwice
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Legia Warszawa(home)1-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 15, 2026Wieczysta Kraków(home)3-4Ekstraklasa
Aug 9, 2026Lech Poznan(away)0-3Ekstraklasa
Aug 1, 2026Wisla Krakow(home)4-3Ekstraklasa
Jul 27, 2026Zaglebie Lubin(away)0-2Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Pogon Szczecin win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Piast Gliwice win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 13, 2026Piast Gliwice 0-2 Pogon SzczecinEkstraklasa
Oct 3, 2025Pogon Szczecin 2-1 Piast GliwiceEkstraklasa
Apr 13, 2025Piast Gliwice 2-1 Pogon SzczecinEkstraklasa
Feb 26, 2025Pogon Szczecin 2-0 Piast GliwiceCup
Oct 6, 2024Pogon Szczecin 1-0 Piast GliwiceEkstraklasa
Jun 26, 2024Piast Gliwice 1-0 Pogon SzczecinFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin on Apr 13, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Pogon Szczecin score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Piast Gliwice score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pogon Szczecin1.41.347/158/15
Piast Gliwice1.41.648/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pogon Szczecin sit 5th in Ekstraklasa (7 points from 4 matches) and Piast Gliwice sit 14th (4 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Pogon Szczecin4211747
14Piast Gliwice51138134

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pogon Szczecin vs Piast Gliwice?
The Footlab model makes Pogon Szczecin the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Piast Gliwice.
Where and when is Pogon Szczecin vs Piast Gliwice played?
Pogon Szczecin vs Piast Gliwice is played on March 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Pogon Szczecin and Piast Gliwice

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