Pogon Szczecin vs Piast Gliwice: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, Szczecin
The Footlab model makes Pogon Szczecin the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Piast Gliwice. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pogon Szczecin vs Piast Gliwice?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Pogon Szczecin (1,993) and Piast Gliwice (1,917).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pogon Szczecin have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Piast Gliwice have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wisla Krakow(home) | 2-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Motor Lublin(home) | 3-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Cracovia Krakow(away) | 2-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(home) | 0-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Sturm Graz(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(home) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wieczysta Kraków(home) | 3-4 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lech Poznan(away) | 0-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wisla Krakow(home) | 4-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Zaglebie Lubin(away) | 0-2 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Pogon Szczecin win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Piast Gliwice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2026 | Piast Gliwice 0-2 Pogon Szczecin | Ekstraklasa |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Pogon Szczecin 2-1 Piast Gliwice | Ekstraklasa |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Piast Gliwice 2-1 Pogon Szczecin | Ekstraklasa |
| Feb 26, 2025 | Pogon Szczecin 2-0 Piast Gliwice | Cup |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Pogon Szczecin 1-0 Piast Gliwice | Ekstraklasa |
| Jun 26, 2024 | Piast Gliwice 1-0 Pogon Szczecin | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin on Apr 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pogon Szczecin score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Piast Gliwice score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pogon Szczecin | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Piast Gliwice | 1.4 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pogon Szczecin sit 5th in Ekstraklasa (7 points from 4 matches) and Piast Gliwice sit 14th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pogon Szczecin | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 7 |
| 14 | Piast Gliwice | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pogon Szczecin vs Piast Gliwice?
- The Footlab model makes Pogon Szczecin the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Piast Gliwice.
- Where and when is Pogon Szczecin vs Piast Gliwice played?
- Pogon Szczecin vs Piast Gliwice is played on March 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 20, 2027Slask WroclawvsWisla Krakow
- Mar 20, 2027Legia WarszawavsJagiellonia
- Mar 20, 2027Gornik ZabrzevsMotor Lublin
- Mar 20, 2027Wisla PlockvsZaglebie Lubin
- Mar 20, 2027Cracovia KrakowvsGKS Katowice
- Mar 20, 2027Raków CzęstochowavsKorona Kielce
- Mar 20, 2027Radomiak RadomvsLech Poznan
- Mar 20, 2027Wieczysta KrakówvsWidzew Łódź