Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Gliwice
The Footlab model makes Piast Gliwice the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Pogon Szczecin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Piast Gliwice (1,916) and Pogon Szczecin (1,992).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Piast Gliwice have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Pogon Szczecin have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(home) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wieczysta Kraków(home) | 3-4 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lech Poznan(away) | 0-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wisla Krakow(home) | 4-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Zaglebie Lubin(away) | 0-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wisla Krakow(home) | 2-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Motor Lublin(home) | 3-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Cracovia Krakow(away) | 2-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(home) | 0-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Sturm Graz(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Piast Gliwice win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Pogon Szczecin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2026 | Piast Gliwice 0-2 Pogon Szczecin | Ekstraklasa |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Pogon Szczecin 2-1 Piast Gliwice | Ekstraklasa |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Piast Gliwice 2-1 Pogon Szczecin | Ekstraklasa |
| Feb 26, 2025 | Pogon Szczecin 2-0 Piast Gliwice | Cup |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Pogon Szczecin 1-0 Piast Gliwice | Ekstraklasa |
| Jun 26, 2024 | Piast Gliwice 1-0 Pogon Szczecin | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin on Apr 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Piast Gliwice score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Pogon Szczecin score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piast Gliwice | 1.4 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Pogon Szczecin | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Piast Gliwice sit 14th in Ekstraklasa (4 points from 5 matches) and Pogon Szczecin sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pogon Szczecin | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 7 |
| 14 | Piast Gliwice | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin?
- The Footlab model makes Piast Gliwice the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Pogon Szczecin.
- Where and when is Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin played?
- Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin is played on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026JagielloniavsLegia Warszawa
- Sep 19, 2026Wisla KrakowvsSlask Wroclaw
- Sep 19, 2026Zaglebie LubinvsWisla Plock
- Sep 19, 2026Korona KielcevsRaków Częstochowa
- Sep 19, 2026Lech PoznanvsRadomiak Radom
- Sep 19, 2026GKS KatowicevsCracovia Krakow
- Sep 19, 2026Widzew ŁódźvsWieczysta Kraków
- Sep 19, 2026Motor LublinvsGornik Zabrze