Radomiak Radom vs Lech Poznan: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Radomiaka, Radom
The Footlab model makes Lech Poznan the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Radomiak Radom. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Radomiak Radom vs Lech Poznan?
Lech Poznan starts as the favourite with a 241-point Elo edge (2,141 vs 1,900).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Radomiak Radom have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Lech Poznan have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Zaglebie Lubin(home) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(away) | 0-5 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 9, 2026 | AEL(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gornik Zabrze(home) | 1-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 2, 2026 | GKS Katowice(away) | 1-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | FC Thun(home) | 7-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | KI Klaksvik(away) | 5-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Piast Gliwice(home) | 3-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 6, 2026 | KI Klaksvik(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wieczysta Kraków(away) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Radomiak Radom win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Lech Poznan win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Radomiak Radom 1-3 Lech Poznan | Ekstraklasa |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Lech Poznan 4-1 Radomiak Radom | Ekstraklasa |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Radomiak Radom 2-2 Lech Poznan | Ekstraklasa |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Lech Poznan 2-1 Radomiak Radom | Ekstraklasa |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Radomiak Radom 2-2 Lech Poznan | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 30, 2023 | Lech Poznan 2-0 Radomiak Radom | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Radomiak Radom vs Lech Poznan on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Radomiak Radom score 1.2 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Lech Poznan score 2.6 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Radomiak Radom | 1.2 | 2.0 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Lech Poznan | 2.6 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Radomiak Radom sit 16th in Ekstraklasa (4 points from 5 matches) and Lech Poznan sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Lech Poznan | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 16 | Radomiak Radom | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Radomiak Radom vs Lech Poznan?
- The Footlab model makes Lech Poznan the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Radomiak Radom.
- Where and when is Radomiak Radom vs Lech Poznan played?
- Radomiak Radom vs Lech Poznan is played on March 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Radomiaka, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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