Where and when is Korona Kielce vs Pogon Szczecin played?

Korona Kielce vs Pogon Szczecin is played on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at EXBUD Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Korona Kielce vs Pogon Szczecin: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 27Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)EXBUD Arena, Kielce

Korona Kielce

Pogon Szczecin

The Footlab model makes Korona Kielce the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Pogon Szczecin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Korona Kielce vs Pogon Szczecin?

A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Korona Kielce (1,943) and Pogon Szczecin (1,991).

Korona Kielce win46 %

Draw27 %

Pogon Szczecin win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Korona Kielce have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Pogon Szczecin have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Korona Kielce
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Motor Lublin(home)	1-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 15, 2026	Widzew Łódź(away)	2-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 8, 2026	Legia Warszawa(home)	1-1	Ekstraklasa
Jul 25, 2026	Jagiellonia(away)	0-1	Ekstraklasa
Jul 17, 2026	Nieciecza(home)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs

Pogon Szczecin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Wisla Krakow(home)	2-2	Ekstraklasa
Aug 8, 2026	Motor Lublin(home)	3-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 3, 2026	Cracovia Krakow(away)	2-0	Ekstraklasa
Jul 24, 2026	Legia Warszawa(home)	0-1	Ekstraklasa
Jul 15, 2026	Sturm Graz(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Korona Kielce win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Pogon Szczecin win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 16, 2026	Pogon Szczecin 2-1 Korona Kielce	Ekstraklasa
Sep 13, 2025	Korona Kielce 1-0 Pogon Szczecin	Ekstraklasa
Dec 9, 2024	Korona Kielce 0-0 Pogon Szczecin	Ekstraklasa
Jul 20, 2024	Pogon Szczecin 3-0 Korona Kielce	Ekstraklasa
Mar 17, 2024	Korona Kielce 2-2 Pogon Szczecin	Ekstraklasa
Sep 16, 2023	Pogon Szczecin 3-1 Korona Kielce	Ekstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce on Mar 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Korona Kielce score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Pogon Szczecin score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Korona Kielce	0.9	0.9	4	7/15	2/15
Pogon Szczecin	1.4	1.3	4	7/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Korona Kielce sit 11th in Ekstraklasa (5 points from 4 matches) and Pogon Szczecin sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Pogon Szczecin	4	2	1	1	7	4	7
11	Korona Kielce	4	1	2	1	4	4	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Korona Kielce vs Pogon Szczecin?: The Footlab model makes Korona Kielce the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Pogon Szczecin.
Where and when is Korona Kielce vs Pogon Szczecin played?: Korona Kielce vs Pogon Szczecin is played on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at EXBUD Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.