Poland vs Finland: result 5-1 and analysis
FriendliesFriendlies 1Kick-off on October 7, 2020 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Stadion Śląski, Chorzów
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What was the result of Poland vs Finland?
Poland won 5-1 on October 7, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 9′K. GrosickiPoland
- 18′K. GrosickiPoland
- 38′K. GrosickiPoland
- 53′K. PiątekPoland
- 68′I. NiskanenFinland
- 87′A. MilikPoland
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Poland have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Finland have 8, 0 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2020 | Bosnia & Herzegovina(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 4, 2020 | Netherlands(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 19, 2019 | Slovenia(home) | 3-2 | Euro Championship |
| Nov 16, 2019 | Israel(away) | 2-1 | Euro Championship |
| Oct 13, 2019 | FYR Macedonia(home) | 2-0 | Euro Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2020 | Rep. Of Ireland(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 3, 2020 | Wales(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 18, 2019 | Greece(away) | 1-2 | Euro Championship |
| Nov 15, 2019 | Liechtenstein(home) | 3-0 | Euro Championship |
| Oct 15, 2019 | Armenia(home) | 3-0 | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Poland score 1.4 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Finland score 1.3 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poland | 1.4 | 0.7 | 7 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Finland | 1.3 | 0.9 | 8 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy