Police vs Etincelles: result 5-1 and analysis
National Soccer LeagueGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on May 1, 2021 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Amahoro, Kigali
Full time
What was the result of Police vs Etincelles?
Police won 5-1 on May 1, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 5′?Etincelles
- 29′154754Police
- 66′?Police
- 70′?Police
- 89′?Police
- 90′?Police
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Police have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Etincelles have 2, 8 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2020 | Bugesera(away) | 3-1 | National Soccer League |
| Mar 11, 2020 | Bugesera(away) | 1-3 | National Soccer League |
| Mar 8, 2020 | AS Kigali(home) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| Mar 4, 2020 | APR(away) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Feb 15, 2020 | Heroes(away) | 3-1 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2020 | Musanze(home) | 1-2 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 7, 2020 | Espoir(home) | 2-1 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 4, 2020 | Muhanga(away) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| Mar 11, 2020 | Muhanga(home) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| Mar 7, 2020 | Marines(away) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Police wins, 1 draw, 0 Etincelles wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2019 | Etincelles 0-1 Police | National Soccer League |
| Apr 21, 2019 | Police 2-0 Etincelles | National Soccer League |
| Dec 11, 2018 | Etincelles 0-0 Police | National Soccer League |
How many goals should we expect?
Police score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Etincelles score 0.9 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Police | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Etincelles | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Police sit 14th in National Soccer League (3 points from 3 matches) and Etincelles sit 2nd (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Etincelles | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 |
| 14 | Police | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
A question about Police vs Etincelles?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy