Police vs KCCA: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueMatchday 11Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)MTN Omondi Stadium, Kampala
The Footlab AI model makes KCCA the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Police. The most likely score is 1-1. If KCCA wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,579 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Police vs KCCA?
KCCA starts as the favourite with a 145-point Elo edge (1,529 vs 1,384).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Police vs KCCA
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Police
Not enough data to predict the Police lineup.
KCCA
Not enough data to predict the KCCA lineup.
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 07:04 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Police have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; KCCA have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Kitara(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Kataka(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Kigezi HomeBoyz(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Vipers(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | SC Villa(home) | 1-6 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | Maroons(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Mbarara City(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Lugazi(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Ntugasaze(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | URA(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Police win, 2 draws, 3 KCCA wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | KCCA 2-1 Police | Premier League |
| Jan 6, 2026 | Police 2-0 KCCA | Premier League |
| Apr 29, 2025 | KCCA 2-1 Police | Premier League |
| Jan 2, 2025 | Police 0-0 KCCA | Premier League |
| Mar 15, 2022 | Police 1-1 KCCA | Premier League |
| Dec 10, 2021 | KCCA 3-1 Police | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Police score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; KCCA score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Police | 1.0 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| KCCA | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Police sit 7th in Premier League (15 points from 10 matches) and KCCA sit 5th (19 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | KCCA | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
| 7 | Police | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 15 |
A question about Police vs KCCA?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Police vs KCCA?
- The Footlab AI model makes KCCA the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Police.
- Where and when is Police vs KCCA played?
- Police vs KCCA is played on November 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at MTN Omondi Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.