SC Villa vs UPDF: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueMatchday 11Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Betway Muteesa II Stadium, Kampala
The Footlab AI model makes SC Villa the favourite at 68%, against 22% for a draw and 10% for UPDF. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,579 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SC Villa vs UPDF?
SC Villa starts as the favourite with a 228-point Elo edge (1,498 vs 1,270).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for SC Villa vs UPDF
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
SC Villa
Not enough data to predict the SC Villa lineup.
UPDF
Not enough data to predict the UPDF lineup.
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 07:04 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC Villa have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; UPDF have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | BUL(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Lugazi(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Blacks Power(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Lijabatho(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Mbarara City(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | NEC(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Kitara(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | URA(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | BUL(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Express(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 SC Villa wins, 0 draws, 1 UPDF win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | SC Villa 2-1 UPDF | Premier League |
| Nov 25, 2025 | UPDF 0-1 SC Villa | Premier League |
| Mar 2, 2025 | UPDF 2-0 SC Villa | Premier League |
| Nov 1, 2024 | SC Villa 5-0 UPDF | Premier League |
| May 11, 2024 | UPDF 0-2 SC Villa | Premier League |
| Jan 2, 2024 | SC Villa 3-0 UPDF | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
SC Villa score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; UPDF score 0.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Villa | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| UPDF | 0.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SC Villa sit 3rd in Premier League (21 points from 10 matches) and UPDF sit 13th (8 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | SC Villa | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 21 |
| 13 | UPDF | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 8 |
A question about SC Villa vs UPDF?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SC Villa vs UPDF?
- The Footlab AI model makes SC Villa the favourite at 68%, against 22% for a draw and 10% for UPDF.
- Where and when is SC Villa vs UPDF played?
- SC Villa vs UPDF is played on November 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Betway Muteesa II Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.