Polokwane City vs Richards Bay: prediction and stats
Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on April 28, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Old Peter Mokaba Stadium, Pietersburg
The Footlab model makes Polokwane City the favourite at 41%, against 31% for a draw and 29% for Richards Bay. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Polokwane City vs Richards Bay?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Polokwane City (1,725) and Richards Bay (1,710).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polokwane City have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Richards Bay have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(away) | 0-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Stellenbosch(home) | 3-3 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(away) | 2-3 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Richards Bay(away) | 2-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 16, 2026 | Marumo Gallants(home) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Durban City(away) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Chippa United(away) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Polokwane City(home) | 1-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 23, 2026 | Magesi(away) | 0-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 16, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(home) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Polokwane City win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Richards Bay win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | Richards Bay 1-2 Polokwane City | Premier Soccer League |
| May 6, 2026 | Richards Bay 0-0 Polokwane City | Premier Soccer League |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Polokwane City 1-1 Richards Bay | Premier Soccer League |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Polokwane City 3-1 Richards Bay | Premier Soccer League |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Richards Bay 2-0 Polokwane City | Premier Soccer League |
| May 8, 2024 | Polokwane City 0-0 Richards Bay | Premier Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Richards Bay vs Polokwane City on Aug 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Polokwane City score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Richards Bay score 0.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polokwane City | 0.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Richards Bay | 0.8 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Polokwane City sit 8th in Premier Soccer League (4 points from 3 matches) and Richards Bay sit 11th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Polokwane City | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 11 | Richards Bay | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Polokwane City vs Richards Bay?
- The Footlab model makes Polokwane City the favourite at 41%, against 31% for a draw and 29% for Richards Bay.
- Where and when is Polokwane City vs Richards Bay played?
- Polokwane City vs Richards Bay is played on April 28, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Old Peter Mokaba Stadium, in the Premier Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.