Where and when is Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Olimpia Elbląg played?

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Olimpia Elbląg is played on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Olimpia Elbląg: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 19Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)

Polonia Lidzbark Warm.

Olimpia Elbląg

The Footlab model makes Polonia Lidzbark Warm. the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Olimpia Elbląg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Olimpia Elbląg?

A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Polonia Lidzbark Warm. (1,666) and Olimpia Elbląg (1,637).

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. win43 %

Draw24 %

Olimpia Elbląg win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polonia Lidzbark Warm. have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Olimpia Elbląg have 2, 4 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Polonia Lidzbark Warm.
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Widzew II(away)	1-4	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Olimpia Zambrów(home)	2-3	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026	Wisła Płock II(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 7, 2026	Olimpia Elbląg(away)	2-4	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 1, 2026	Swit(home)	1-2	III Liga - Group 1

Olimpia Elbląg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away)	2-2	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Widzew II(home)	0-2	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026	Olimpia Zambrów(away)	2-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 7, 2026	Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(home)	4-2	III Liga - Group 1
Jul 31, 2026	Wisła Płock II(home)	1-2	III Liga - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Polonia Lidzbark Warm. win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Olimpia Elbląg win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 7, 2026	Olimpia Elbląg 4-2 Polonia Lidzbark Warm.	III Liga - Group 1
Jul 14, 2024	Polonia Lidzbark Warm. 2-1 Olimpia Elbląg	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Olimpia Elbląg vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm. on Aug 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Olimpia Elbląg score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.	1.2	1.8	3	10/15	9/15
Olimpia Elbląg	1.1	1.9	1	11/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. sit 16th in III Liga - Group 1 (1 points from 5 matches) and Olimpia Elbląg sit 11th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	Olimpia Elbląg	5	2	1	2	9	9	7
16	Polonia Lidzbark Warm.	5	0	1	4	7	14	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Olimpia Elbląg?: The Footlab model makes Polonia Lidzbark Warm. the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Olimpia Elbląg.
Where and when is Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Olimpia Elbląg played?: Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Olimpia Elbląg is played on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.