Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Troszyn: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 19Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki the favourite at 43%, against 22% for a draw and 35% for Troszyn. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Troszyn?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki (1,751) and Troszyn (1,748).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki have 3 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Troszyn have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Olimpia Elbląg(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Swit(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(home) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Troszyn(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(home) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Warta Sieradz(home) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(home) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Widzew II(away) | 1-5 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Troszyn win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Troszyn 1-4 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Troszyn vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki score 2.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 6; Troszyn score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 2.3 | 1.8 | 0 | 6/6 | 6/6 |
| Troszyn | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki sit 3rd in III Liga - Group 1 (10 points from 5 matches) and Troszyn sit 17th (1 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 10 |
| 17 | Troszyn | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Troszyn?
- The Footlab model makes Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki the favourite at 43%, against 22% for a draw and 35% for Troszyn.
- Where and when is Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Troszyn played?
- Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Troszyn is played on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026Wigry SuwałkivsJagiellonia II
- Nov 28, 2026Olimpia ZambrówvsSwit
- Nov 28, 2026Pelikan ŁowiczvsMławianka Mława
- Nov 28, 2026Lechia T. MazowieckivsWisła Płock II
- Nov 28, 2026Warta SieradzvsŁKS Łódź II
- Nov 28, 2026Polonia Lidzbark Warm.vsOlimpia Elbląg
- Nov 28, 2026Widzew IIvsZąbkovia Ząbki
- Nov 28, 2026WeszlovsŁomża