Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Widzew II: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 22Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Widzew II the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Polonia Lidzbark Warm.. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Widzew II?
Widzew II starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,800 vs 1,665).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polonia Lidzbark Warm. have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Widzew II have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Widzew II(away) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(home) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Olimpia Elbląg(away) | 2-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Swit(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(home) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Olimpia Elbląg(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Swit(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Troszyn(home) | 5-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Polonia Lidzbark Warm. win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Widzew II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Widzew II 4-1 Polonia Lidzbark Warm. | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Widzew II vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm. on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Polonia Lidzbark Warm. score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Widzew II score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polonia Lidzbark Warm. | 1.2 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Widzew II | 2.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Polonia Lidzbark Warm. sit 16th in III Liga - Group 1 (1 points from 5 matches) and Widzew II sit 2nd (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Widzew II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 10 |
| 16 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm. | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Widzew II?
- The Footlab model makes Widzew II the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Polonia Lidzbark Warm..
- Where and when is Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Widzew II played?
- Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Widzew II is played on March 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 13, 2027Olimpia ElblągvsMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
- Mar 13, 2027SwitvsWigry Suwałki
- Mar 13, 2027Jagiellonia IIvsWeszlo
- Mar 13, 2027ŁKS Łódź IIvsLechia T. Mazowiecki
- Mar 13, 2027Mławianka MławavsŁomża
- Mar 13, 2027Wisła Płock IIvsOlimpia Zambrów
- Mar 13, 2027TroszynvsPelikan Łowicz
- Mar 13, 2027Ząbkovia ZąbkivsWarta Sieradz