Match

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Widzew II: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 22Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)

Polonia Lidzbark Warm.Widzew II

The Footlab model makes Widzew II the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Polonia Lidzbark Warm.. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Widzew II?

Widzew II starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,800 vs 1,665).

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. win23 %
Draw21 %
Widzew II win57 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polonia Lidzbark Warm. have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Widzew II have 10, 1 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Polonia Lidzbark Warm.
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Widzew II(away)1-4III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Olimpia Zambrów(home)2-3III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026Wisła Płock II(home)1-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 7, 2026Olimpia Elbląg(away)2-4III Liga - Group 1
Aug 1, 2026Swit(home)1-2III Liga - Group 1
Widzew II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(home)4-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Olimpia Elbląg(away)2-0III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026Swit(home)0-0III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026Ząbkovia Ząbki(away)0-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 2, 2026Troszyn(home)5-1III Liga - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Polonia Lidzbark Warm. win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Widzew II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Widzew II 4-1 Polonia Lidzbark Warm.III Liga - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Widzew II vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm. on Aug 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Widzew II score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.1.21.8310/159/15
Widzew II2.21.157/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. sit 16th in III Liga - Group 1 (1 points from 5 matches) and Widzew II sit 2nd (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Widzew II531111310
16Polonia Lidzbark Warm.50147141

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Widzew II?
The Footlab model makes Widzew II the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Polonia Lidzbark Warm..
Where and when is Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Widzew II played?
Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Widzew II is played on March 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Polonia Lidzbark Warm. and Widzew II

Ready to know everything about football?