Swit vs Wigry Suwałki: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 22Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
The Footlab model makes Wigry Suwałki the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Swit. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Swit vs Wigry Suwałki?
Wigry Suwałki starts as the favourite with a 145-point Elo edge (1,834 vs 1,689).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Swit have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Wigry Suwałki have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Widzew II(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(home) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Swit(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Troszyn(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Swit win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Wigry Suwałki win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki 0-0 Swit | III Liga - Group 1 |
| May 30, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki 3-2 Swit | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Swit 2-3 Wigry Suwałki | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Wigry Suwałki 0-1 Swit | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Swit 0-3 Wigry Suwałki | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Wigry Suwałki vs Swit on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Swit score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Wigry Suwałki score 1.6 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swit | 1.7 | 1.6 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Wigry Suwałki | 1.6 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Swit sit 10th in III Liga - Group 1 (7 points from 4 matches) and Wigry Suwałki sit 7th (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wigry Suwałki | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 10 | Swit | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Swit vs Wigry Suwałki?
- The Footlab model makes Wigry Suwałki the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Swit.
- Where and when is Swit vs Wigry Suwałki played?
- Swit vs Wigry Suwałki is played on March 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 13, 2027Olimpia ElblągvsMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
- Mar 13, 2027Jagiellonia IIvsWeszlo
- Mar 13, 2027ŁKS Łódź IIvsLechia T. Mazowiecki
- Mar 13, 2027Mławianka MławavsŁomża
- Mar 13, 2027Wisła Płock IIvsOlimpia Zambrów
- Mar 13, 2027Polonia Lidzbark Warm.vsWidzew II
- Mar 13, 2027TroszynvsPelikan Łowicz
- Mar 13, 2027Ząbkovia ZąbkivsWarta Sieradz