Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Warta Sieradz: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 22Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Dolcanu Ząbki, Ząbki
The Footlab model makes Warta Sieradz the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Ząbkovia Ząbki. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Warta Sieradz?
Warta Sieradz starts as the favourite with a 147-point Elo edge (1,849 vs 1,701).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ząbkovia Ząbki have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Warta Sieradz have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Warta Sieradz(away) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Widzew II(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(away) | 0-5 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(home) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Troszyn(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Ząbkovia Ząbki win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Warta Sieradz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Warta Sieradz 0-4 Ząbkovia Ząbki | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Warta Sieradz 2-1 Ząbkovia Ząbki | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Ząbkovia Ząbki 2-1 Warta Sieradz | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Warta Sieradz vs Ząbkovia Ząbki on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ząbkovia Ząbki score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Warta Sieradz score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ząbkovia Ząbki | 1.4 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Warta Sieradz | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ząbkovia Ząbki sit 13th in III Liga - Group 1 (7 points from 5 matches) and Warta Sieradz sit 12th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Warta Sieradz | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
| 13 | Ząbkovia Ząbki | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Warta Sieradz?
- The Footlab model makes Warta Sieradz the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Ząbkovia Ząbki.
- Where and when is Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Warta Sieradz played?
- Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Warta Sieradz is played on March 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Dolcanu Ząbki, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 13, 2027Olimpia ElblągvsMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
- Mar 13, 2027SwitvsWigry Suwałki
- Mar 13, 2027Jagiellonia IIvsWeszlo
- Mar 13, 2027ŁKS Łódź IIvsLechia T. Mazowiecki
- Mar 13, 2027Mławianka MławavsŁomża
- Mar 13, 2027Wisła Płock IIvsOlimpia Zambrów
- Mar 13, 2027Polonia Lidzbark Warm.vsWidzew II
- Mar 13, 2027TroszynvsPelikan Łowicz