Match

Troszyn vs Pelikan Łowicz: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 22Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Piłkarski KS CK Troszyn, Troszyn

TroszynPelikan Łowicz

The Footlab model makes Troszyn the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Pelikan Łowicz. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Troszyn vs Pelikan Łowicz?

A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Troszyn (1,750) and Pelikan Łowicz (1,654).

Troszyn win53 %
Draw23 %
Pelikan Łowicz win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Troszyn have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Pelikan Łowicz have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Troszyn
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Pelikan Łowicz(away)1-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Warta Sieradz(home)1-4III Liga - Group 1
Aug 14, 2026Wigry Suwałki(away)0-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(home)1-4III Liga - Group 1
Aug 2, 2026Widzew II(away)1-5III Liga - Group 1
Pelikan Łowicz
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Troszyn(home)1-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Jagiellonia II(away)0-3III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026ŁKS Łódź II(home)2-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 7, 2026Mławianka Mława(away)1-0III Liga - Group 1
Aug 1, 2026Łomża(home)3-2III Liga - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Troszyn win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Pelikan Łowicz win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Pelikan Łowicz 1-1 TroszynIII Liga - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Pelikan Łowicz vs Troszyn on Aug 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Troszyn score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Pelikan Łowicz score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Troszyn1.31.8210/158/15
Pelikan Łowicz1.11.7210/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Troszyn sit 17th in III Liga - Group 1 (1 points from 5 matches) and Pelikan Łowicz sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Pelikan Łowicz53117710
17Troszyn50144151

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Troszyn vs Pelikan Łowicz?
The Footlab model makes Troszyn the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Pelikan Łowicz.
Where and when is Troszyn vs Pelikan Łowicz played?
Troszyn vs Pelikan Łowicz is played on March 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Piłkarski KS CK Troszyn, in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Troszyn and Pelikan Łowicz

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