Mławianka Mława vs Łomża: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 22Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MOSiR Mlawa, Mlawa
The Footlab model makes Łomża the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Mławianka Mława. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mławianka Mława vs Łomża?
Łomża starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,844 vs 1,716).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mławianka Mława have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Łomża have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Łomża(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(home) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Weszlo(away) | 1-5 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Warta Sieradz(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(away) | 2-5 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Weszlo(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Mławianka Mława win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Łomża win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Łomża 0-0 Mławianka Mława | III Liga - Group 1 |
| May 30, 2026 | Łomża 2-1 Mławianka Mława | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Mławianka Mława 0-1 Łomża | III Liga - Group 1 |
| May 10, 2025 | Łomża 3-0 Mławianka Mława | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Mławianka Mława 1-2 Łomża | III Liga - Group 1 |
| May 25, 2024 | Łomża 2-1 Mławianka Mława | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Łomża vs Mławianka Mława on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mławianka Mława score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Łomża score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mławianka Mława | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Łomża | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mławianka Mława sit 14th in III Liga - Group 1 (4 points from 5 matches) and Łomża sit 15th (2 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Mławianka Mława | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 4 |
| 15 | Łomża | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mławianka Mława vs Łomża?
- The Footlab model makes Łomża the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Mławianka Mława.
- Where and when is Mławianka Mława vs Łomża played?
- Mławianka Mława vs Łomża is played on March 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR Mlawa, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 13, 2027Olimpia ElblągvsMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
- Mar 13, 2027SwitvsWigry Suwałki
- Mar 13, 2027Jagiellonia IIvsWeszlo
- Mar 13, 2027ŁKS Łódź IIvsLechia T. Mazowiecki
- Mar 13, 2027Wisła Płock IIvsOlimpia Zambrów
- Mar 13, 2027Polonia Lidzbark Warm.vsWidzew II
- Mar 13, 2027TroszynvsPelikan Łowicz
- Mar 13, 2027Ząbkovia ZąbkivsWarta Sieradz