Where and when is Stargard Szczeciński vs Polonia Środa played?

Stargard Szczeciński vs Polonia Środa is played on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Stargard Szczeciński vs Polonia Środa: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 21Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Stargard Szczeciński

Stargard Szczeciński

Polonia Środa

The Footlab model makes Polonia Środa the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Stargard Szczeciński. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stargard Szczeciński vs Polonia Środa?

A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Stargard Szczeciński (1,779) and Polonia Środa (1,872).

Stargard Szczeciński win27 %

Draw23 %

Polonia Środa win50 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stargard Szczeciński have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Polonia Środa have 9, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stargard Szczeciński
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Luzino(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Polonia Środa(away)	1-4	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Lech Poznań II(home)	4-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Kluczevia Stargard(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Wda Świecie(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2

Polonia Środa
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Lipno Stęszew(away)	3-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Stargard Szczeciński(home)	4-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026	Chemik Bydgoszcz(away)	4-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 7, 2026	Victoria Września(home)	1-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Bałtyk Koszalin(away)	3-0	III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Stargard Szczeciński win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Polonia Środa win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 19, 2026	Polonia Środa 4-1 Stargard Szczeciński	III Liga - Group 2
Nov 22, 2025	Stargard Szczeciński 0-1 Polonia Środa	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2025	Polonia Środa 4-2 Stargard Szczeciński	III Liga - Group 2
Mar 28, 2025	Polonia Środa 0-0 Stargard Szczeciński	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 31, 2024	Stargard Szczeciński 3-0 Polonia Środa	III Liga - Group 2
May 15, 2024	Polonia Środa 0-3 Stargard Szczeciński	III Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Polonia Środa vs Stargard Szczeciński on Aug 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Stargard Szczeciński score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Polonia Środa score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Stargard Szczeciński	1.7	1.5	5	10/15	10/15
Polonia Środa	1.9	1.2	4	8/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Stargard Szczeciński sit 9th in III Liga - Group 2 (7 points from 5 matches) and Polonia Środa sit 1st (15 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Polonia Środa	5	5	0	0	15	4	15
9	Stargard Szczeciński	5	2	1	2	9	10	7

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stargard Szczeciński vs Polonia Środa?: The Footlab model makes Polonia Środa the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Stargard Szczeciński.
Where and when is Stargard Szczeciński vs Polonia Środa played?: Stargard Szczeciński vs Polonia Środa is played on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.