Match

Stargard Szczeciński vs Polonia Środa: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 21Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Stargard Szczeciński

Stargard SzczecińskiPolonia Środa

The Footlab AI model makes Polonia Środa the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Stargard Szczeciński. The most likely score is 1-1. If Polonia Środa wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,715 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stargard Szczeciński vs Polonia Środa?

Polonia Środa starts as the favourite with a 124-point Elo edge (1,842 vs 1,718).

29%23%48%
Stargard Szczeciński winDrawPolonia Środa win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Stargard Szczeciński vs Polonia Środa

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Stargard Szczeciński

Not enough data to predict the Stargard Szczeciński lineup.

Polonia Środa

4-3-3
  1. 7P. Mikita
  2. 9J. Wilczyński
  3. 4Jakub Kledecki
  1. 97F. Karmański
  2. 10B. Bartkowiak
  3. 23M. Stangel
  1. 15M. Pieńczak
  2. 38K. Gorecki
  3. 6Jonathan de Amo
  4. 2Michal Walczak
  1. 12M. Garstkiewicz

Computed on November 14, 2026 at 04:19 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stargard Szczeciński have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Polonia Środa have 10, 4 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stargard Szczeciński
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Noteć Czarnków(home)0-0III Liga - Group 2
Oct 31, 2026Unia Swarzędz(away)0-0III Liga - Group 2
Oct 24, 2026Grom Nowy Staw(home)3-1III Liga - Group 2
Oct 17, 2026Gedania Gdansk(away)2-2III Liga - Group 2
Oct 10, 2026Lipno Stęszew(home)3-4III Liga - Group 2
Polonia Środa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Flota Świnoujście(away)0-1III Liga - Group 2
Oct 31, 2026Luzino(home)5-2III Liga - Group 2
Oct 28, 2026Śląsk Wrocław II(home)3-1Cup
Oct 24, 2026Kalisz(away)0-0III Liga - Group 2
Oct 18, 2026Lech Poznań II(away)3-2III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Stargard Szczeciński wins, 1 draw, 3 Polonia Środa wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026Polonia Środa 4-1 Stargard SzczecińskiIII Liga - Group 2
Nov 22, 2025Stargard Szczeciński 0-1 Polonia ŚrodaIII Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2025Polonia Środa 4-2 Stargard SzczecińskiIII Liga - Group 2
Mar 28, 2025Polonia Środa 0-0 Stargard SzczecińskiIII Liga - Group 2
Aug 31, 2024Stargard Szczeciński 3-0 Polonia ŚrodaIII Liga - Group 2
May 15, 2024Polonia Środa 0-3 Stargard SzczecińskiIII Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Polonia Środa vs Stargard Szczeciński on Aug 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Stargard Szczeciński score 2.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Polonia Środa score 2.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Stargard Szczeciński2.31.7411/1511/15
Polonia Środa2.71.5410/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Stargard Szczeciński sit 6th in III Liga - Group 2 (24 points from 16 matches) and Polonia Środa sit 1st (37 points from 16 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Polonia Środa161141432137
6Stargard Szczeciński16664352624

A question about Stargard Szczeciński vs Polonia Środa?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stargard Szczeciński vs Polonia Środa?
The Footlab AI model makes Polonia Środa the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Stargard Szczeciński.
Where and when is Stargard Szczeciński vs Polonia Środa played?
Stargard Szczeciński vs Polonia Środa is played on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Stargard Szczeciński and Polonia Środa