Match

Kluczevia Stargard vs Polonia Środa: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 29Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Boisko ZKS Kluczevia, Stargard

Kluczevia StargardPolonia Środa

The Footlab model makes Polonia Środa the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Kluczevia Stargard. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kluczevia Stargard vs Polonia Środa?

A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Kluczevia Stargard (1,774) and Polonia Środa (1,873).

Kluczevia Stargard win30 %
Draw24 %
Polonia Środa win47 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kluczevia Stargard have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Polonia Środa have 9, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kluczevia Stargard
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Grom Nowy Staw(away)4-3III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Gedania Gdansk(home)2-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Lipno Stęszew(away)4-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026Stargard Szczeciński(home)2-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Chemik Bydgoszcz(away)3-3III Liga - Group 2
Polonia Środa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Lipno Stęszew(away)3-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Stargard Szczeciński(home)4-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026Chemik Bydgoszcz(away)4-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 7, 2026Victoria Września(home)1-0III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Bałtyk Koszalin(away)3-0III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Kluczevia Stargard win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Polonia Środa win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026Kluczevia Stargard 1-2 Polonia ŚrodaIII Liga - Group 2
Nov 7, 2025Polonia Środa 1-4 Kluczevia StargardIII Liga - Group 2
Apr 27, 2022Polonia Środa 0-2 Kluczevia StargardIII Liga - Group 2
Sep 18, 2021Kluczevia Stargard 0-2 Polonia ŚrodaIII Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Kluczevia Stargard vs Polonia Środa on May 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kluczevia Stargard score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Polonia Środa score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kluczevia Stargard2.11.7212/1514/15
Polonia Środa1.91.248/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kluczevia Stargard sit 2nd in III Liga - Group 2 (11 points from 5 matches) and Polonia Środa sit 1st (15 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Polonia Środa550015415
2Kluczevia Stargard5320151011

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kluczevia Stargard vs Polonia Środa?
The Footlab model makes Polonia Środa the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Kluczevia Stargard.
Where and when is Kluczevia Stargard vs Polonia Środa played?
Kluczevia Stargard vs Polonia Środa is played on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko ZKS Kluczevia, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Kluczevia Stargard and Polonia Środa

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