Kluczevia Stargard vs Polonia Środa: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 29Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Boisko ZKS Kluczevia, Stargard
The Footlab model makes Polonia Środa the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Kluczevia Stargard. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kluczevia Stargard vs Polonia Środa?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Kluczevia Stargard (1,774) and Polonia Środa (1,873).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kluczevia Stargard have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Polonia Środa have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Grom Nowy Staw(away) | 4-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(away) | 3-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(home) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Victoria Września(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bałtyk Koszalin(away) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Kluczevia Stargard win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Polonia Środa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Kluczevia Stargard 1-2 Polonia Środa | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Polonia Środa 1-4 Kluczevia Stargard | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Apr 27, 2022 | Polonia Środa 0-2 Kluczevia Stargard | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Sep 18, 2021 | Kluczevia Stargard 0-2 Polonia Środa | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Kluczevia Stargard vs Polonia Środa on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kluczevia Stargard score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Polonia Środa score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kluczevia Stargard | 2.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| Polonia Środa | 1.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kluczevia Stargard sit 2nd in III Liga - Group 2 (11 points from 5 matches) and Polonia Środa sit 1st (15 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Środa | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 15 |
| 2 | Kluczevia Stargard | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 10 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kluczevia Stargard vs Polonia Środa?
- The Footlab model makes Polonia Środa the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Kluczevia Stargard.
- Where and when is Kluczevia Stargard vs Polonia Środa played?
- Kluczevia Stargard vs Polonia Środa is played on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko ZKS Kluczevia, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 1, 2027Elana ToruńvsFlota Świnoujście
- May 1, 2027Lech Poznań IIvsKalisz
- May 1, 2027Unia SwarzędzvsBałtyk Koszalin
- May 1, 2027Gedania GdanskvsChemik Bydgoszcz
- May 1, 2027Noteć CzarnkówvsKotwica Kórnik
- May 1, 2027Wda ŚwiecievsLuzino
- May 1, 2027Grom Nowy StawvsVictoria Września
- May 1, 2027Lipno StęszewvsStargard Szczeciński