Chertsey Town vs Poole Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 29, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Alwyns Lane Football Ground, Chertsey, Surrey
The Footlab model makes Chertsey Town the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Poole Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chertsey Town vs Poole Town?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Chertsey Town (1,843) and Poole Town (1,823).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chertsey Town have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Poole Town have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sholing(away) | 4-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Yate Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Berkhamsted(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gloucester City(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Westfield (Surrey)(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Berkhamsted(away) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Sholing(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chichester City(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Eastleigh(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Chertsey Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Poole Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Chertsey Town 0-1 Poole Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Poole Town 1-0 Chertsey Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Poole Town 3-1 Chertsey Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jan 14, 2025 | Chertsey Town 2-1 Poole Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Chertsey Town vs Poole Town on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chertsey Town score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Poole Town score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chertsey Town | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Poole Town | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chertsey Town sit 1st in Non League Premier - Southern South (10 points from 4 matches) and Poole Town sit 11th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chertsey Town | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 10 |
| 11 | Poole Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chertsey Town vs Poole Town?
- The Footlab model makes Chertsey Town the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Poole Town.
- Where and when is Chertsey Town vs Poole Town played?
- Chertsey Town vs Poole Town is played on September 29, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Alwyns Lane Football Ground, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 29, 2026Wimborne TownvsYate Town
- Sep 29, 2026UxbridgevsBasingstoke Town
- Sep 29, 2026Evesham UnitedvsChippenham Town
- Sep 29, 2026SholingvsBerkhamsted
- Sep 29, 2026Gloucester CityvsPlymouth Parkway
- Sep 29, 2026Bath CityvsMalvern Town
- Sep 29, 2026Hanworth VillavsChichester City
- Sep 29, 2026Havant & WvillevsHanwell Town