Poole Town vs Hanwell Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Tatnam Ground, Poole, Dorset
The Footlab model makes Poole Town the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Hanwell Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Poole Town vs Hanwell Town?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Poole Town (1,823) and Hanwell Town (1,757).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Poole Town have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Hanwell Town have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Berkhamsted(away) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Sholing(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chichester City(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Eastleigh(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gloucester City(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sholing(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Malvern Town(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Aldershot Town(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Poole Town win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Hanwell Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | Hanwell Town 1-1 Poole Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Poole Town 1-0 Hanwell Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Hanwell Town 3-3 Poole Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Poole Town 1-2 Hanwell Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Poole Town 0-3 Hanwell Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Hanwell Town 0-3 Poole Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Hanwell Town vs Poole Town on Jan 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Poole Town score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hanwell Town score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poole Town | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Hanwell Town | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Poole Town sit 11th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Hanwell Town sit 13th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Poole Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| 13 | Hanwell Town | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Poole Town vs Hanwell Town?
- The Footlab model makes Poole Town the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Hanwell Town.
- Where and when is Poole Town vs Hanwell Town played?
- Poole Town vs Hanwell Town is played on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Tatnam Ground, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 20, 2026Wimborne TownvsGosport Borough
- Oct 20, 2026UxbridgevsMalvern Town
- Oct 20, 2026Basingstoke TownvsPlymouth Parkway
- Oct 20, 2026Chertsey TownvsEvesham United
- Oct 20, 2026Chichester CityvsBerkhamsted
- Oct 20, 2026Yate TownvsSholing
- Oct 20, 2026Bath CityvsHavant & Wville
- Oct 20, 2026Hanworth VillavsChippenham Town