Poole Town vs Wimborne Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Tatnam Ground, Poole, Dorset
The Footlab model makes Poole Town the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Wimborne Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Poole Town vs Wimborne Town?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Poole Town (1,819) and Wimborne Town (1,738).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Poole Town have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Wimborne Town have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Berkhamsted(away) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Sholing(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chichester City(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Eastleigh(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Malvern Town(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gloucester City(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Chichester City(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Frome Town(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Maidenhead(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Poole Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Wimborne Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Poole Town 1-2 Wimborne Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Wimborne Town 0-2 Poole Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Feb 18, 2025 | Wimborne Town 1-0 Poole Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 26, 2024 | Poole Town 1-0 Wimborne Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 23, 2022 | Poole Town 0-1 Wimborne Town | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 18, 2022 | Wimborne Town 2-4 Poole Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Poole Town vs Wimborne Town on Apr 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Poole Town score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Wimborne Town score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poole Town | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Wimborne Town | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Poole Town sit 11th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Wimborne Town sit 14th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Poole Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| 14 | Wimborne Town | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Poole Town vs Wimborne Town?
- The Footlab model makes Poole Town the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Wimborne Town.
- Where and when is Poole Town vs Wimborne Town played?
- Poole Town vs Wimborne Town is played on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Tatnam Ground, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 22, 2026Taunton TownvsBath City
- Sep 22, 2026BerkhamstedvsHanworth Villa
- Sep 22, 2026Basingstoke TownvsGosport Borough
- Sep 22, 2026Bracknell TownvsHavant & Wville
- Sep 22, 2026Chichester CityvsChertsey Town
- Sep 22, 2026Hanwell TownvsUxbridge
- Sep 22, 2026Yate TownvsEvesham United
- Sep 22, 2026Chippenham TownvsSholing