Taunton Town vs Chertsey Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 20Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Cygnet Health Care Stadium, Taunton, Somerset
The Footlab model makes Chertsey Town the favourite at 38%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Taunton Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Taunton Town vs Chertsey Town?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Taunton Town (1,776) and Chertsey Town (1,843).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Taunton Town have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Chertsey Town have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Uxbridge(away) | 4-5 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Berkhamsted(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Malvern Town(home) | 5-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sholing(away) | 4-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Yate Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Berkhamsted(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gloucester City(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Westfield (Surrey)(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Taunton Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Chertsey Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | Chertsey Town 3-1 Taunton Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Taunton Town 0-2 Chertsey Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Mar 25, 2025 | Chertsey Town 3-3 Taunton Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Taunton Town 2-3 Chertsey Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Chertsey Town vs Taunton Town on Mar 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Taunton Town score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Chertsey Town score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taunton Town | 1.9 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Chertsey Town | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Taunton Town sit 8th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Chertsey Town sit 1st (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chertsey Town | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Taunton Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Taunton Town vs Chertsey Town?
- The Footlab model makes Chertsey Town the favourite at 38%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Taunton Town.
- Where and when is Taunton Town vs Chertsey Town played?
- Taunton Town vs Chertsey Town is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Cygnet Health Care Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026BerkhamstedvsFrome Town
- Nov 21, 2026UxbridgevsGloucester City
- Nov 21, 2026Chichester CityvsBasingstoke Town
- Nov 21, 2026SholingvsEvesham United
- Nov 21, 2026Gosport BoroughvsHavant & Wville
- Nov 21, 2026Wimborne TownvsBath City
- Nov 21, 2026Yate TownvsHanwell Town
- Nov 21, 2026Chippenham TownvsBracknell Town