Sportlust '46 vs Staphorst: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Cromwijck, Woerden
The Footlab AI model makes Staphorst the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Sportlust '46. The most likely score is 1-1. If Staphorst wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,618 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sportlust '46 vs Staphorst?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Sportlust '46 (1,734) and Staphorst (1,685).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sportlust '46 vs Staphorst
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sportlust '46
3-4-2-1- 32Nordin Zoufri
- 6A. Lemrini
- 10I. van Otterlo
- 8M. Fichtinger
- 21C. van Hussen
- 7Kesly den Haag
- 5Martijn Jansen
- 4Fabio Helderton
- 3Coen van der Hoek
- 25Kjeld van den Hoek
- 1S. Damkalis
Staphorst
4-3-3- 11S. Haanstra
- 20J. Hooikammer
- 11M. Luchtenberg
- 7D. Schra
- 17M. van 't Ende
- 6R. Crediet
- 4D. Muis
- 15K. Engbers
- 5J. Duit
- 21J. Huizing
- 24A. van Zaltbommel
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 10:13 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sportlust '46 have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Staphorst have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | ADO '20(home) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hercules(away) | 0-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Excelsior '31(home) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | DVS 33 Ermelo(away) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(home) | 0-2 | KNVB Beker |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | DVS 33 Ermelo(home) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hollandia(away) | 4-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | TEC(home) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sparta Nijkerk(away) | 2-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | SC Genemuiden(home) | 2-3 | KNVB Beker |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Sportlust '46 wins, 2 draws, 0 Staphorst wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Staphorst 0-2 Sportlust '46 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Sportlust '46 1-0 Staphorst | Derde Divisie |
| Dec 10, 2022 | Sportlust '46 0-0 Staphorst | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 20, 2022 | Staphorst 1-2 Sportlust '46 | Derde Divisie |
| Apr 9, 2022 | Staphorst 0-0 Sportlust '46 | Derde Divisie |
| Mar 15, 2022 | Sportlust '46 4-2 Staphorst | Derde Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Staphorst vs Sportlust '46 on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sportlust '46 score 1.4 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Staphorst score 1.8 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportlust '46 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Staphorst | 1.8 | 2.0 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sportlust '46 sit 7th in Derde Divisie (19 points from 10 matches) and Staphorst sit 13th (9 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Sportlust '46 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 14 | 19 |
| 13 | Staphorst | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 21 | 9 |
A question about Sportlust '46 vs Staphorst?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sportlust '46 vs Staphorst?
- The Footlab AI model makes Staphorst the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Sportlust '46.
- Where and when is Sportlust '46 vs Staphorst played?
- Sportlust '46 vs Staphorst is played on April 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Cromwijck, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.