Poortugaal vs Roosendaal: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Polder Albrandswaard, Poortugaal
The Footlab model makes Poortugaal the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Roosendaal. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Poortugaal vs Roosendaal?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Poortugaal (1,710) and Roosendaal (1,774).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, Poortugaal have 2 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Roosendaal have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | TOGB(away) | 3-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vvsb(home) | 0-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 2, 2025 | TEC(away) | 2-3 | KNVB Beker |
| Jun 4, 2025 | FC 's-Gravenzande(away) | 2-2 | Derde Divisie - Relegation Round |
| May 31, 2025 | FC 's-Gravenzande(home) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie - Relegation Round |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Lisse(home) | 0-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Groene Ster(away) | 3-1 | Derde Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | UDI '19(home) | 4-3 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| May 16, 2026 | FC Lisse(away) | 2-3 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| May 10, 2026 | Blauw Geel(home) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
How many goals should we expect?
Poortugaal score 1.6 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 7; Roosendaal score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poortugaal | 1.6 | 2.0 | 0 | 5/7 | 6/7 |
| Roosendaal | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Poortugaal sit 8th in Derde Divisie (3 points from 2 matches) and Roosendaal sit 7th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Roosendaal | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Poortugaal | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Poortugaal vs Roosendaal?
- The Footlab model makes Poortugaal the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Roosendaal.
- Where and when is Poortugaal vs Roosendaal played?
- Poortugaal vs Roosendaal is played on December 5, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Polder Albrandswaard, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.