Match

Grimsby vs Port Vale: prediction and stats

League TwoRegular Season - 41Kick-off on April 13, 2027 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Blundell Park, Cleethorpes, North East Lincolnshire

GrimsbyPort Vale

The Footlab AI model makes Grimsby the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Port Vale. The most likely score is 1-1. If Grimsby wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Grimsby vs Port Vale?

A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Grimsby (1,824) and Port Vale (1,813).

46%28%26%
Grimsby winDrawPort Vale win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Grimsby vs Port Vale

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Grimsby

4-1-4-1
  1. 39A. Cook
  1. 4K. Green
  2. 30C. Vernam
  3. 28F. Cartwright
  4. 14J. Amaluzor
  5. 15G. Turi
  1. 3J. Sweeney
  2. 5H. Rodgers
  3. 17C. McJannet
  4. 2M. Kacurri
  1. 31C. Pym

Port Vale

3-5-2
  1. 11O. Hernández
  2. 36M. Watters
  1. 6J. Lawrence-Gabriel
  2. 10K. Dempsey
  3. 3J. Headley
  4. 8B. Garrity
  5. 33G. Hall
  1. 5C. Hall
  2. 25C. Humphreys
  3. 4J. Moon
  1. 20M. Maroši

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:16 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Grimsby have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Port Vale have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Grimsby
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Port Vale(away)0-1League Two
Oct 6, 2026Burton Albion(home)0-0EFL Trophy
Oct 3, 2026Shrewsbury(home)1-2League Two
Sep 26, 2026Newport County(away)1-2League Two
Sep 22, 2026Notts County(away)1-2EFL Trophy
Port Vale
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Grimsby(home)1-0League Two
Oct 6, 2026Mansfield Town(home)2-0EFL Trophy
Sep 22, 2026Chesterfield(away)1-1EFL Trophy
Sep 19, 2026Walsall(away)0-2League Two
Sep 12, 2026Exeter City(home)1-0League Two

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Grimsby wins, 2 draws, 2 Port Vale wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Port Vale 1-0 GrimsbyLeague Two
Apr 21, 2025Port Vale 2-2 GrimsbyLeague Two
Dec 29, 2024Grimsby 3-0 Port ValeLeague Two
Jul 21, 2023Port Vale 1-1 GrimsbyFriendlies Clubs
May 1, 2021Grimsby 1-0 Port ValeLeague Two
Jan 9, 2021Port Vale 3-0 GrimsbyLeague Two

Last archived meeting: Port Vale vs Grimsby on Oct 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Grimsby score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Port Vale score 0.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Grimsby1.31.268/158/15
Port Vale0.81.164/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Grimsby sit 11th in League Two (13 points from 10 matches) and Port Vale sit 22nd (8 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Grimsby10343131113
22Port Vale8224498

A question about Grimsby vs Port Vale?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Grimsby vs Port Vale?
The Footlab AI model makes Grimsby the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Port Vale.
Where and when is Grimsby vs Port Vale played?
Grimsby vs Port Vale is played on April 13, 2027 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Blundell Park, in the League Two.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Grimsby and Port Vale

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