Port Vale vs Swindon Town: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 30Kick-off on February 9, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Vale Park, Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Port Vale the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Swindon Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Port Vale wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,262 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Port Vale vs Swindon Town?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Port Vale (1,768) and Swindon Town (1,698).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Port Vale vs Swindon Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Port Vale
3-5-2- 11O. Hernández
- 36M. Watters
- 6J. Lawrence-Gabriel
- 3J. Headley
- 33G. Hall
- 7G. Byers
- 10K. Dempsey
- 25C. Humphreys
- 4J. Moon
- 5C. Hall
- 20M. Maroši
Swindon Town
3-4-2-1- 23A. Drinan
- 25J. Thomson
- 2M. Clark
- 24M. Virtue-Thick
- 19J. Snowdon
- 26D. Butler
- 7T. Nichols
- 6J. Ball
- 5S. Negru
- 34B. Kirkman
- 1C. Ripley
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 06:09 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Port Vale have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Swindon Town have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Scunthorpe(home) | 4-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Rochdale(home) | 4-2 | League Two |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Manchester City U21(home) | 5-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 24, 2026 | York(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Gillingham(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Milton Keynes Dons(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Rotherham(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Barnet(away) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Walsall(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Port Vale wins, 1 draw, 3 Swindon Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2026 | Swindon Town 3-1 Port Vale | League Two |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Swindon Town 3-3 Port Vale | League Two |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Port Vale 2-1 Swindon Town | League Two |
| May 19, 2022 | Port Vale 1-0 Swindon Town | League Two |
| May 15, 2022 | Swindon Town 2-1 Port Vale | League Two |
| Jan 15, 2022 | Port Vale 1-3 Swindon Town | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Swindon Town vs Port Vale on Sep 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Port Vale score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Swindon Town score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Port Vale | 1.5 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Swindon Town | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Port Vale sit 19th in League Two (15 points from 12 matches) and Swindon Town sit 13th (19 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Swindon Town | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 19 |
| 19 | Port Vale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 15 |
A question about Port Vale vs Swindon Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Port Vale vs Swindon Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Port Vale the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Swindon Town.
- Where and when is Port Vale vs Swindon Town played?
- Port Vale vs Swindon Town is played on February 9, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Vale Park, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.