Colchester vs Bristol Rovers: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 30Kick-off on February 9, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)JobServe Community Stadium, Colchester, Essex
The Footlab AI model makes Colchester the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Bristol Rovers. The most likely score is 1-1. If Colchester wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,515 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Colchester vs Bristol Rovers?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Colchester (1,691) and Bristol Rovers (1,694).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Colchester vs Bristol Rovers
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Colchester
4-2-3-1- 9B. Ihionvien
- 12M. Sesay
- 26J. Williams
- 27O. Thorn
- 6P. Digby
- 10J. Payne
- 3E. Iandolo
- 5J. Tucker
- 2R. Hunt
- 30K. Vincent-Young
- 22T. Lo-Tutala
Bristol Rovers
3-4-1-2- 29F. Cavegn
- 28A. Appiah
- 2T. James
- 6C. Mola
- 7S. Forde
- 3J. Sparkes
- 21R. Smallwood
- 17C. Kelly
- 5A. Kilgour
- 4K. Balmer
- 1Brad Young
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 03:13 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colchester have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Bristol Rovers have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Walsall(home) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Northampton(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Chesterfield(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Exeter City(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Newport County(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Swindon Town(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Salford City(home) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Shrewsbury(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Barnet(home) | 1-3 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Colchester win, 2 draws, 3 Bristol Rovers wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2026 | Bristol Rovers 2-0 Colchester | League Two |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Bristol Rovers 0-1 Colchester | League Two |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Colchester 1-1 Bristol Rovers | League Two |
| Nov 23, 2022 | Colchester 1-2 Bristol Rovers | EFL Trophy |
| Mar 15, 2022 | Bristol Rovers 1-0 Colchester | League Two |
| Oct 19, 2021 | Colchester 1-1 Bristol Rovers | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Bristol Rovers vs Colchester on Sep 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Colchester score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bristol Rovers score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colchester | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Bristol Rovers | 1.2 | 1.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Colchester sit 23rd in League Two (12 points from 13 matches) and Bristol Rovers sit 17th (16 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 23 | 16 |
| 23 | Colchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 12 |
A question about Colchester vs Bristol Rovers?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Colchester vs Bristol Rovers?
- The Footlab AI model makes Colchester the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Bristol Rovers.
- Where and when is Colchester vs Bristol Rovers played?
- Colchester vs Bristol Rovers is played on February 9, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at JobServe Community Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.