Match

Oldham vs Fleetwood Town: prediction and stats

League TwoRegular Season - 30Kick-off on February 9, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Boundary Park, Oldham, Greater Manchester

OldhamFleetwood Town

The Footlab AI model makes Oldham the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Fleetwood Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Oldham wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,849 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Oldham vs Fleetwood Town?

A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Oldham (1,800) and Fleetwood Town (1,820).

41%30%29%
Oldham winDrawFleetwood Town win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Oldham vs Fleetwood Town

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Oldham

4-2-3-1
  1. 10C. Kavanagh
  1. 8O. Norburn
  2. 7K. Appiah-Forson
  3. 4T. Pett
  4. 17F. Fawunmi
  5. 15K. Drummond
  1. 3J. Robson
  2. 6E. Monthe
  3. 5D. Daniels
  4. 16W. Sutton
  1. 1M. Hudson

Fleetwood Town

3-1-4-2
  1. 17C. Evans
  2. 19R. Coughlan
  1. 15A. Murphy
  2. 14L. McCann
  3. 10M. Helm
  4. 4H. Neal
  5. 24Jake Thomas Batty
  1. 26S. Rooney
  2. 5F. Potter
  3. 6R. Bennett
  1. 1J. Lynch

Computed on October 20, 2026 at 12:08 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oldham have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Fleetwood Town have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Oldham
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Cheltenham(home)4-1League Two
Oct 13, 2026Leeds United U21(home)4-2EFL Trophy
Oct 10, 2026Accrington ST(home)0-0League Two
Sep 26, 2026Salford City(home)1-4League Two
Sep 22, 2026Fleetwood Town(home)1-0EFL Trophy
Fleetwood Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Rotherham(home)2-0League Two
Oct 10, 2026Walsall(home)1-1League Two
Oct 6, 2026Barnsley(home)4-1EFL Trophy
Oct 3, 2026Salford City(away)0-1League Two
Sep 26, 2026Rochdale(home)1-2League Two

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Oldham win, 3 draws, 2 Fleetwood Town wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 22, 2026Oldham 1-0 Fleetwood TownEFL Trophy
Sep 1, 2026Fleetwood Town 1-1 OldhamLeague Two
Feb 14, 2026Oldham 1-1 Fleetwood TownLeague Two
Aug 23, 2025Fleetwood Town 1-1 OldhamLeague Two
Nov 13, 2019Fleetwood Town 5-2 OldhamEFL Trophy
Dec 26, 2017Oldham 1-2 Fleetwood TownLeague One

Last archived meeting: Oldham vs Fleetwood Town on Sep 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Oldham score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Fleetwood Town score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Oldham1.51.356/157/15
Fleetwood Town1.40.967/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Oldham sit 19th in League Two (11 points from 10 matches) and Fleetwood Town sit 12th (14 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Fleetwood Town11353121114
19Oldham10325131411

A question about Oldham vs Fleetwood Town?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Oldham vs Fleetwood Town?
The Footlab AI model makes Oldham the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Fleetwood Town.
Where and when is Oldham vs Fleetwood Town played?
Oldham vs Fleetwood Town is played on February 9, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Boundary Park, in the League Two.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Oldham and Fleetwood Town

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