Shrewsbury vs Rochdale: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 30Kick-off on February 9, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Croud Meadow, Shrewsbury, Shropshire
The Footlab AI model makes Rochdale the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Shrewsbury. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rochdale wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,564 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shrewsbury vs Rochdale?
Rochdale starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,747 vs 1,635).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Shrewsbury vs Rochdale
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Shrewsbury
3-4-1-2- 9G. Lloyd
- 13J. Davison
- 10T. Sang
- 11K. Berkoe
- 18K. M. Brown
- 2L. Hoole
- 17Arkelle Nicholas Cecil Jude-Boyd
- 6S. Stubbs
- 5W. Boyle
- 3J. Ruffels
- 1William Michael Brook
Rochdale
4-2-3-1- 39D. Brown
- 45G. Middleton
- 8H. Gilmour
- 17B. Adeeko
- 7C. Hayes
- 14E. Francis
- 3Kaiden Wilson
- 44A. Flint
- 2C. Tasker
- 26S. Sherring
- 20Sam William John Waller
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 09:37 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shrewsbury have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Rochdale have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Gillingham(home) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Everton U21(home) | 2-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Rotherham(away) | 3-3 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Crawley Town(away) | 3-2 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Doncaster(home) | 1-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Port Vale(away) | 2-4 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Accrington ST(home) | 0-5 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Grimsby(home) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Crewe(away) | 2-3 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Shrewsbury win, 1 draw, 4 Rochdale wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2026 | Rochdale 3-0 Shrewsbury | League Two |
| Aug 24, 2021 | Shrewsbury 0-2 Rochdale | League Cup |
| Mar 9, 2021 | Rochdale 0-2 Shrewsbury | League One |
| Oct 24, 2020 | Shrewsbury 1-2 Rochdale | League One |
| Feb 1, 2020 | Rochdale 1-0 Shrewsbury | League One |
| Aug 17, 2019 | Shrewsbury 0-0 Rochdale | League One |
Last archived meeting: Rochdale vs Shrewsbury on Sep 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Shrewsbury score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Rochdale score 1.3 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shrewsbury | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Rochdale | 1.3 | 2.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shrewsbury sit 15th in League Two (18 points from 14 matches) and Rochdale sit 20th (15 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | 18 |
| 20 | Rochdale | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 26 | 15 |
A question about Shrewsbury vs Rochdale?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shrewsbury vs Rochdale?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rochdale the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Shrewsbury.
- Where and when is Shrewsbury vs Rochdale played?
- Shrewsbury vs Rochdale is played on February 9, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The Croud Meadow, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.